Steve Rawlings has been pawing through the record books in search of value and he thinks he's found a nice sporting wager for the final round at Augusta on Sunday...
"Ten aces in 13 years is an incredible return on one hole in round four so the 9/4 about there being an ace at any hole in round four this year makes much appeal."
In the 80 editions of the US Masters to date, we've only ever had 27 hole-in-ones but 13 of the 27 have been made in the last 13 years. Chris DiMarco aced the sixth in 2004 and so did Jamie Donaldson four years ago but the other 11 were all made on the 16th hole.
The reason for the recent rash of aces at the 16th has been largely down to the pin position on a Sunday. Padraig Harrington and Kirk Triplett both aced the 16th when playing in consecutive groups in 2004 and last year three players, Shane Lowry, Davis Love III and Louis Oosthuizen all made a hole-in-one there. And when you watch the spectacular way Oosty holed his, you can see how inviting the pin position was.
So, of the 13 holes in one made since 2004, 11 have come at the 16th and only one of the 11 didn't occur in round four. Ian Poulter's hole-in-one came in round one in 2008 but the other 10 all happened during round four.
Ten aces in 13 years is an incredible return on one hole in round four so the 9/4 about there being an ace at any hole in round four this year makes much appeal. Even if we take into account that some years there are multiple aces and some years none, the 9/4 still represents terrific value given there's been at least one hole-in-one on a Sunday in four of the last six years and in six of the last 13 years.
Don't go backing Yes in the Hole-in-one market at 8/11, even though it could be a winner, take the far more attractive 9/4 that we'll get one on Sunday.
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