The Punter's De-Brief: Ormsby wins Fanling thriller

Wade Ormsby – winner of the Hong Kong Open
Wade Ormsby – winner of the Hong Kong Open

Wade Ormsby has won the UBS Hong Kong Open after a tense finale at Fanling - read our man's look back at all the action here...

“Having been matched at 100.099/1 on Monday, Ormsby was backed down to around 80.079/1 before the off and he was the third triple-figure priced Australian to win the title in four years following victories for Scott Hend in 2014 and Sam Brazel 12 months ago.”

The well-fancied, pre-tournament second favourite, Jason Day, began the final round of the Australian Open in front but a two-over par 73 saw him slip to fifth as 22-year-old outsider, Cameron Davis, who was matched at 400.0399/1 before the off, came through to win with a seven-under-par 64.

On the European Tour, the UBS Hong Kong Open was won by 37-year-old Aussie, Wade Ormsby, after a thrilling final round that saw four players trade at odds-on.

SSP Chawrasia, who had led after rounds one, two and three, started round four nicely enough and he hit a low of 1.748/11 after he'd birdied the par three eighth. He was playing nicely and seemed to be in complete control but disaster struck at the tricky par four ninth hole where he recorded a triple-bogey seven!

SSP bounced back with a birdie at the tenth and if he'd have parred in from there he'd have tied Ormsby's 11-under-par total but he was clearly rattled after the disaster on nine and he was out of the reckoning completely after bogeys at the 11th, 12th, 14th and 15th.

Sweden's Alexander Bjork looked the man most likely to benefit from the Indian's collapse and he hit a low of 1.68/13 but he bogeyed the 15th, made a bomb for par on 16, and another bogey up the last to post a ten-under- par total. That never really looked like being enough and when Ormsby birdied the 17th it looked like a done deal but there was to be one more twist...

Ormsby was matched at just 1.031/33 after he'd safely driven at the 18th with a two-stroke lead but a lengthy birdie at 17 by Rafa Cabrera Bello and a three-putt bogey by Ormsby at 18 saw the pair tied at the top. The Australian went from long odds-on to odds-against as the Spaniard's odds dipped to 1.9520/21. The money buyers taking the silly odds-on were made to sweat but not for long. Rafa found the greenside bunker with his approach shot and when he failed to get up-and-down for par, the title was Ormsby's.

Having been matched at 100.099/1 on Monday, Ormsby was backed down to around 80.079/1 before the off and he was the third triple-figure priced Australian to win the title in four years following victories for Scott Hend in 2014 and Sam Brazel 12 months ago.

My Bets

I was fairly disparaging about the winner before the final round in the In-Play Blog and he wasn't someone I wanted to side with so I've got no regrets about missing out on the winner but I should have traded the event far better than I did.

With no PGA Tour action, and so no evening golf, I went out for the night on Saturday but that really wasn't conducive with early morning trading. I was awake in time to see my in-play pick, Chawrasia, birdie the eighth but I was daft enough not to fire up the laptop or even lay him back for some profits on my phone and by the time I'd surfaced and got the kettle on it was all far too late.

I clawed a few pounds back trading the winner as he played the 18th but a fuzzy head had meant I didn't make anywhere near the best of a good opportunity and I'm a bit cross with myself for not being better organised. Had I put myself in profit by laying SSP, I'd have also layed Bjork at odds-on and then subsequently Ormsby but I was due a poor week so I'm not going to beat myself up too much. An early night and a clear early morning head would have made a big difference but all work and no play makes Jack a dull boy so I have no qualms.

What Have We Learned This Week?

Ormsby was the 14th winner in-a-row to rank inside the top-12 for Greens In Regulation and he ranked third for Driving Accuracy so as expected a neat and tidy approach reaped rewards again at Fanling.

Before the event, I put forward Wentworth and Crans-sur-Sierre as courses that correlate well with Fanling but after this year's renewal Delhi Golf Club deserves a mention.

The winner has no form at Crans and his form figures at Wentworth read MC-47-MC-MC but he failed to make the weekend in 2005 when he played the course for the first time after he'd sat tied fourth and just one off the lead after round one. He doesn't boost those possible correlations but he helps highlight a new one.

Before this week, Ormsby's only victory had been the Panasonic Open on the Asian Tour in 2014, at the Delhi Golf Club in India. Like Fanling, Delhi is tree-lined and Wade wasn't the only one to boost the course correlation this week.

SSP has a stunning record at Delhi where his last seven starts there have produced form figures reading 5-2-4-1-2-1-2. He won the now defunct Indian Masters there back in 2008, as well as the Panasonic in 2014 and the Indian Open in 2016. He was second there earlier in the month and alongside him in a tie for second was Paul Peterson, who finished tied for second again here.

We've got three events to look forward to next week. Tiger Woods makes his long-awaited return in the Hero World Challenge and we've got the AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open and the Australian PGA Championship on the European Tour. I'll be back with previews for the first two and Paul Krishnamurty will take a look at the action down under.

*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter

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