The Punter's De-Brief: Snedeker wins again but don't give up on Dustin

Brandt Snedeker lifts the RBC Canadian Open trophy

Our man takes a look back at last week's golfing action, where there was plenty of drama, a small amount of profit and lessons to be learned...

“There’s no doubt about it, Johnson is capable of shooting himself in the foot at times but he’s also capable of the most ridiculously good golf. He’ll continue to make a mess of it occasionally but he’ll also continue to win golf tournaments and he might just be value to do so going forward after this latest bout of Dustinitis.”


After the Open Championship the week before, last week looked like being a quiet one but lots of things happened in the world of golf. Michael Hoey won the Russian Open - his fifth European Tour title, Brandt Snedeker took the Canadian Open title - his sixth on the PGA Tour and there was plenty of drama elsewhere.

Bob Tway's son, Kevin, won his first professional title at the Albertsons Boise Open on the Web.Com Tour, where he beat Spencer Levin at the first playoff hole and Mark Wiebe has this morning beaten Bernhard Langer in the Senior Open Championship, at the fifth playoff hole.

Tway, a very good amateur, may well go on to bigger things now and it was great to see Levin back in action. He was making only his second start (missed the cut the week before) since undergoing thumb surgery and he'll return to the PGA Tour in October.

My Bets
There's nothing like a decent win to induce a bit of lethargy and following Phil Mickelson's success at the Open Championship last week, I didn't dot the i's or cross the t's this week.

With the withdrawal of Hunter Mahan, due to the birth of his first child - a daughter called Zoe, and thanks to lots of rain and a weather delay, the Canadian Open was turned on its head on Saturday and I wasn't on the ball to capitalise on it.

I'm not for a second suggesting I could have foreseen or profited from the Mahan withdrawal - that caught everyone out - but I really should have had my eye on the weather.

I based my entire week's punting in Canada on past results at Glen Abbey, assuming that frontrunners would be greatly favoured but the combination of a rain-soaked course and easy pins resulted in some crazy low scores on Saturday and it caught me out.

I can't complain though, with in-running pick, Michael Hoey, winning in Russia, I did at least manage a very small profit on the week.

Players to follow
Hoey is my idea of the perfect golfer to follow and he's well worth considering at big odds. He's inconsistent to say the least but when he finds himself in-the-mix he usually delivers and that's the perfect combination. Unconsidered by the layers because of his poor form, Hoey goes off at extraordinary big odds most weeks but he's shown time and time again that he can suddenly find something and win and if you were to back just one player every single week you could do far worse than Hoey.

Dustin Johnson's bizarre finish to the Canadian Open will have put even more people off him and as a result, he might be reasonably priced going forward. Having birdied the 16th to draw level with Snedeker, Dustin lashed at his drive on the 17th and sent it miles out of bounds and it wasn't the first time Dustin had disappointed his backers - not by a long chalk.

I can distinctly remember being onboard at the Valero Texan Open way back in 2009 at big odds when I had to sit and suffer as he found water a couple of times, after he'd hit odds-on, and there have been a number of catastrophes since. There was his implosion at the 2010 US Open, when he led with a round to go but shot 82 on day four. Then there was that infamous penalty at Winged Foot in the PGA Championship just a few months later when he looked like gaining redemption. And anyone that backed Dustin at this year's US Masters will remember how he went AWOL after striking the front on day two.

There's no doubt about it, Johnson is capable of shooting himself in the foot at times but he's also capable of the most ridiculously good golf. He very nearly missed the cut in Canada yet he traded at as short as 2.245/4. He'll continue to make a mess of it occasionally but he'll also continue to win golf tournaments and he might just be value to do so going forward after this latest bout of Dustinitis. Besides, given we can lay back our wagers whenever we want to anyway, does it matter whether he does something daft now and again? And talking of laying back...

Take some profit when you get the chance.
The Senior Open was played in farcically dark conditions last night before they eventually decided to resume this morning but it really should have been over and done with without the need of a playoff. A bogey at the last would have secured victory for Bernhard Langer but he failed to extricate himself from the greenside bunker on the 18th at the first attempt before missing the bogey putt that would have meant victory and yet again, fortunes were traded at very short odds.

Over £7.500 was matched at the minimum odds of 1.011/100 and a further £12,500 at just 1.021/50. This isn't a rarity in golf and just a few weeks ago Phil Mickelson was matched for even more at those prices when he three-putted from nowhere on the 18th in the Scottish Open. Unlike Langer followers, Lefty backers were let off the hook when he edged out Branden Grace in the playoff but the moral of the tale is the same - never assume and take profits when you can.

All the action's stateside this week with the WGC - Bridgestone Invitational at Firestone Country Club in Ohio and the Reno Tahoe Open in Nevada and I'll be back tomorrow with previews for both.


*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter


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