Open Championship Tips: Hole-In-One Market

The 7th hole at Muirfield

What are the chances of an ace at Muirfield? Pretty good, says The Punter and he's even advocating backing Yes at odds-on. Read why here...

“This year’s venue, Muirfield, has been used three times in the last 30 years. An ace was recorded at the 7th hole in both 1987 and 1992 but none were made in 2002. Still, as Meatloaf once sang, two out of three ain’t bad. “

The days of getting a significant edge have sadly long gone and it's now 22 years since the infamous Hole-In-One Gang trawled the country relieving unsuspecting and ignorant bookmakers of thousands of pounds.

Three out of the four majors produced a hole-in-one in 1991 and with naive bookmakers offering odds as ridiculously high as 101.0100/1 about such an occurrence, the gang cleaned up nicely.

Times may have changed considerably but that doesn't mean there's no value left - far from it.

In the last 30 years, there have been a total of 21 aces at the Open Championship and that stat alone makes anything close 2.01/1 a great price but when you consider a few other factors, backing YES in the Hole-In-One market looks even more appealing.

Of the 30 Opens staged since 1983, six of them have been at St Andrews, a course with just two par threes, producing just two hole-in-ones. So when played away from St Andrews, the stats are even more favourable - 19 aces recorded in 24 events.

This year's venue, Muirfield, has been used three times in the last 30 years. An ace was recorded at the 7th hole in both 1987 (Billy Andrade) and 1992 (Paul McGinley) but none were made in 2002. Still, as Meatloaf once sang, two out of three ain't bad.

The 4th at Muirfield is 226 yards long so we might be hard-pressed to get one there but the other short holes, 7, 13 and 16, are all less than 200 yards and it would be no surprise to see at least one ace made for the third year in-a-row.

The advice is the same as it was last year when Anirban Lahiri aced at the 9th during round three and as it was in 2011 when both Tom Watson (clip) and Dustin Johnson made a hole-in-one at Royal St Georges. Back YES.

Selection: Back Yes @ 1.804/5 or better

*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter

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