Backing a portfolio of finishing position targets is a great way to enjoy the Open, meaning every shot effectively matters throughout. Check out Paul Krishnamurty's seven-strong team...
"Zach Johnson has made his last 11 Open cuts, including seven top-20 finishes. After producing his second best US Open result at Shinnecock Hills and following up with a pair of top-20s, there's no reason why he can't contend again."
Back Zach Johnson for a Top 20 Finish @ [3.8]
Trust these consistent Euro Tour stars
Europeans dominated both the two Opens at Carnoustie in recent memory and there is plenty of mileage in backing those primarily based on this continent again. Not only do European Tour players generally have much more experience of links golf, but most have just played it for two straight weeks in Ireland and Scotland. Both of this pair impacted those links events and are the perfect types to back for these finishing position targets, as demonstrated by their records.
Campillo has been making solid progress for several years, developing a good all-round game. He's reached this top-40 target on 44 of 70 starts since the beginning of 2016, including 28 top-20 finishes. Sure this is the Open and obviously tougher but equally, he's improving fast with six top-five finishes this year. Considering he showed both wellbeing and links ability when third at Ballyliffin, he should be relishing this Open debut.
A wider case is made for Bjork in my Find Me a 100 Winner column and his stats are similarly compelling. Since graduating from the Challenge Tour at the beginning of last season, 47 starts have yielded 30 top-40 finishes and twenty top-20s, including the last three weeks in high-class Rolex Series events.
Poulter primed for a big run
Poulter is very much on my shortlist this week and I see he's among Steve Rawlings' pre-tournament picks at [80.0]. That price has plenty of trading juice but don't dismiss these lesser targets too. His game is in very consistent shape, missing only one top-30 since March and he's pretty reliable in majors. The Open, in which he's twice finished top-three, is his best chance and his experience will be invaluable around Carnoustie.
Harman is priced as an outsider this week because of a lack of Open form but finished a respectable 26th on his debut at Hoylake. He's come on leaps and bounds since those days, regularly challenging on the PGA Tour and in a US Open. Accurate with a great touch around the greens, he'll like some aspects of this test and is hopefully learning the wider arts of links golf.
Open specialist Zach set for another good run
One American with a similar skills set who has long mastered those arts is the 2015 champion. Zach has made his last 11 Open cuts, including seven top-20 finishes. After producing his second best US Open result at Shinnecock Hills and following up with a pair of top-20s, there's no reason why he can't contend again.
Fowler is pick of the favourites
As always the top of the market is stacked with world-class characters, holding unarguably strong claims. If I had to pick one, it would be Fowler, although his terrible conversion ratio rather deters an outright bet. A top-ten finish - earned last week on a links and on three of his last five major appearances - appeals much more.
Accurate Stenson poised to contend again
As explained in our each-way column, I find it very hard to see Stenson being far away on Sunday. His ultra-accurate long game should ensure he's regularly picking up shots on the field and, with a quartet of top-three finishes and the Open scoring record to his name, few if any could claim to be better suited to the links challenge.
Back Alexander Bjork for a Top 40 Finish 5u @ 13/5
Back Jorge Campillo for a Top 40 Finish 5u @ 11/4
Back Ian Poulter for a Top 30 Finish 7u @ 17/10
Back Brian Harman for a Top 30 Finish 4u @ 16/5
Back Zach Johnson for a Top 20 Finish 5u @ [3.8]
Back Rickie Fowler for a Top 10 Finish 5u @ [3.35]
Back Henrik Stenson for a Top 5 Finish 2u @ [7.8]