Ryder Cup 2018: Dominant Europe rated top value to win the afternoon foursomes

The 2018 Ryder Cup at Le Golf National
Europe are on course for a massive victory
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Europe are in total charge at Le Golf National having won eight consecutive points. Previewing the afternoon session, Paul Krishnamurty predicts another one-sided set of foursomes...

"There seems very little reason to think this is going to turn around...Of course after the Medinah Miracle of 2012, it would be folly to dismiss the chance of a comeback but it is hard to manufacture any sort of justification to bet on it."

Europe have taken firm control of the 42nd Ryder Cup, after dominating a second consecutive session. As I write, they've won the last eight available points, having initially trailed 3-0, but the USA are odds-on to stop the rot in the final group. If they do, Europe will need only 6.5 points out of a possible 16 to regain the trophy. Next up, the format in which they obliterated the visitors 4-0 yesterday by an aggregate 17-hole margin.

Afternoon foursome pairings and live betting

Justin Rose & Henrik Stenson vs Brooks Koepka & Dustin Johnson

Sergio Garcia & Alex Noren vs Bubba Watson & Webb Simpson

Tommy Fleetwood & Francesco Molinari vs Tiger Woods & Bryson Dechambeau

Ian Poulter & Rory McIlroy vs Justin Thomas & Jordan Spieth

Matched early down to [1.46], USA are now huge outsiders at [7.8] to win but there seems very little reason to think this is going to turn around. At least four Americans are struggling very badly. Their bombers simply aren't suited to this relatively narrow, penal course. Of course after the Medinah Miracle of 2012, it would be folly to dismiss the chance of a comeback but it is hard to manufacture any sort of justification to bet on it.

Trust Euro foursome pairings to deliver again

Looking through the afternoon pairings, I'm expecting more of the same. Thomas Bjorn has predictably stayed with the same quartet that delivered a 100% return yesterday. Fresh from a morning off, the Rose/Stenson team thoroughly deserve favouritism to extend their prolific record together against a pair of bombers that both lost badly this morning.

Once again, Jim Furyk has picked Bubba Watson in a format for which he looks totally unsuitable. He and Webb Simpson did form some good pairings earlier in their career and I thought we might see them together in fourballs. They look well behind the Garcia/Noren team that was magnificent yesterday.

Next Europe's star team, Fleetwood/Molinari, get a chance to maintain their 100% record against another odd pairing. Bryson Dechambeau was pitched in at the deep end yesterday alongside Mickelson. Now he gets to play with Tiger, whose golf was dismal this morning. Again, the favourites look rock-solid.

The final group is the only one about which I don't really have a strong opinion. Rory's form has been up and down but he and Poulter were brilliant yesterday. However as I've said throughout, the Spieth/Thomas team is the one US pairing I like. Two class acts who are also friends.

Under the circumstances, it is no surprise to see Europe odds-on in those first three matches. If you like betting on the individual matches, that trio are all still reasonable value between [1.75] and [1.95]. However by comparison, [2.0] that Europe win the session looks an absolute steal.


Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty

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