Golf Form Guide: Colsaerts to reign in Spain

Nicolas Colsaerts is a stand-out selection at the Open de Espana

There's a top class field assembled at Quail Hollow this week where Phil Mickelson should go well, but Mike Norman is very sweet on the chances of a tall Belgium playing in Spain.

Nicolas Colsaerts is a long way clear on the European Tour ratings thanks to a third place finish at the Sicilian Open, a second place finish in China a fortnight ago, and an excellent showing around this course in 2010.


It doesn't get much better than last week does it? All four betting.betfair golf writers produced winners of some sorts, including Steve Rawlings' excellent 130.0129/1 wager Bernd Wiesberger. Full details can be found here but I'd like to take this opportunity to congratulate Steve on a top punting week. Well done Sir.

It wasn't a bad week for our Form Guide either. We've already advised three pre-tournament winners this season as well as a plethora of big price selections finishing in the top five, and last week we had 48.047/1 selection Marcus Fraser finish third in Korea and Jason Dufner win in New Orleans at odds of 28.027/1.

But as I always say in this game, the more time you spend looking back the less time you have to look forward. So time to move on.

The European Tour returns to Mainland Europe this week with one of the oldest tournaments in golf, the Open de Espana, whilst over in America the Wells Fargo Championship (formerly the Quail Hollow Championship) has attracted a star-studded field including the likes of Rory McIlroy (9.417/2), Tiger Woods (11.010/1), Phil Mickelson (14.013/1), and Lee Westwood (16.015/1). It promises to be a brilliant week of golf.


PGA Tour - Wells Fargo Championship

(Tournaments used: Zurich Classic, Texas Open, RBC Heritage, US Masters, Shell Houston Open, Arnold Palmer Invitational)


Phil Mickelson (2)... 24 (T10 2011, T5 2010, T5 2009)
Carl Pettersson (2)... 22 (T10 2011)
Tiger Woods (1)... 15 (T5 2009)
Hunter Mahan (1)... 11
Zach Johnson (1)... 11
(T10 2011)
Kevin Na (2)... 11 (T5 2011)
Ben Curtis (1)... 11


*number in brackets after a player's name is the number of top-10 finishes achieved in last six weeks/tournaments on tour
**information after a player's points relates to wins (W), top-five (T5) and top-10 (T10) finishes in corresponding tournament in previous three years


There won't be many people in a rush to write-off Mickelson this week. As The Punter rightly says, there's a sense that this is a tournament that Lefty desperately wants to add to his résumé as it's often won by a big name in the world of golf.

Mickelson arrives at Quail Hollow in fine form too having finished third at the Masters a few weeks ago, that following a week on from a fourth place finish at the Shell Houston Open.

But perhaps more significant this week for Mickelson fans is his terrific course form. Lefty finished in a tie for ninth last year, second in 2010, and tied for fifth in 09. He rarely plays poorly here, and even at odds of just 14.013/1 followers are sure to get a great run for their money.

It shows how fickle golf layers are when they can offer up Carl Pettersson at around 30.029/1 one week, then at nearly three times those odds the following week just because he misses a cut. This is a man who finished ahead of Mickelson in Houston before running away with the RBC Heritage. He has played well at this venue previously too, so he is definitely worth another chance.

Kevin Na is becoming a serial leaderboard challenger; he seems to be up there every week no matter what the tournament is. He's finished fourth, 12th, and eighth in his last three PGA Tour events, recorded a top-five finish here last year, and is my idea of a very lively outsider this week.

Recommended Bets: Phil Mickelson @ 14.013/1, Carl Pettersson @ 80.079/1, Kevin Na @ 70.069/1


European Tour - Open de Espana

(Tournaments used: Ballantines Championship, China Open, Malaysian Open, US Masters, Sicilian Open, Trophee Hassan II)


Nicolas Colsaerts (2)... 18.5 (T10 2010)
Anthony Wall (2)... 11.5
Richie Ramsey (1)... 11
Thorbjorn Olsen (1)... 11
George Coetzee (2)... 10.5
Jamie Donaldson (1)... 9
(T10 2010)
Jose-Manuel Lara (2)... 8.5 (T10 2009*)


*The 2009 and 2011 renewals of the Open de Espana were staged at different venues to that of 2010 and this year


Nicolas Colsaerts is a long way clear on the European Tour ratings thanks to a third place finish at the Sicilian Open, a second place finish in China a fortnight ago, and an excellent showing around this course in 2010. He's a class act and has to be backed this week.

Alvaro Quiros won this event the last time it was staged at this venue, and although George Coetzee doesn't hit it quite as far a Quiros he's a long hitter himself who is in decent form.

So too is Jamie Donaldson, the Welshman finishing third at the Trophee Hassan a few weeks back. He's also recorded a top-10 finish at this venue and both he and Coetzee are worth a wager this week.

Recommended Bet: Nicolas Colsaerts @ 17.016/1, George Coetzee @ 28.027/1, Jamie Donaldson @ 50.049/1


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