Joe Dyer - Back Graeme McDowell @ 71.070/1
Almost exactly one month ago to this day Graeme McDowell was winning the Open de France by four shots and subsequently became one of the hot bets for The Open. The Northern Irishman never really contended at Muirfield and it's not gone particularly well since with a couple of average performances at the Canadian Open and WGC Bridgestone. But the 2010 US Open winner is a streaky player - he won the RBC Heritage after missing the cut at Augusta - and is often seen to his best on the trickiest courses. Driving accuracy is going to be key at Oak Hill and McDowell is a supreme operator with the big stick. He also possesses a wonderful short game and is well suited to the grind we're expecting to see. His price of 71.070/1 screams value and I'm very keen to have him on side this week.
Paul Krishnamurty - Back Ernie Els @ 91.090/1
The market has gone completely mad when it is possible to back this ultra-reliable majors performer at 91.090/1. The historical, statistical case for backing Ernie is a no-brainer. In 82 majors as a pro, Els has made the top-six a staggering 26 times, including in the last PGA at Oak Hill, yet we are invited to take over 20/1 about him bagging another place. Granted, he is not quite the force of old, but he's challenged in three of the last four US Opens and won a second Open title only last year. In the last two months, he's been placed at similar odds in the US Open and won a decent event in Germany. These odds seem a massive over-reaction to last week's struggle on a course he's never liked. The key difference between Els now and at his peak is that he can no longer cope with fast greens. Whereas that weakness is ruinous at a track like Firestone, it will not be a problem at Oak Hill.
Mike Norman - Back Joost Luiten @ 251.0250/1
Purely on price I think Luiten has to be backed each-way. It was only a month ago that he was a tenth of those odds for a high-quality Irish Open, an event in which he finished second. In fact that runner-up finish in Ireland was the Dutchman's fourth consecutive top-11 finish on the European Tour, a run that included a win in Austria. So there's no doubting this talented youngster's game. He ranks sixth for Driving Accuracy in Europe and 11th for GIR, two attributes that will serve him well here at Oak Hill. He's in the form of his life, striking the ball well, and finished in a highly creditable 21st in this event last year. It's hard to ignore him at such a huge price.
Steve Rawlings - Back Boo Weekley @ 201.0200/1
The more research I did on this year's USPGA Championship, the more convinced I became that relentlessly accurate types would fare best and they don't get any more precise that Boo Weekley. He ranks highly for both fairways and greens hit and the fact that he's already notched this year, at the Crowne Plaza Invitational, is another huge plus, given that 11 of the last 12 PGA champs had already won an event that season. Boo's weakness is putting but the last three winners at Oak Hill all ranked relatively low for putting and with the greens unlikely to run as fast as desired by many, that could well be the case again this year. He's a big price but don't let that put you off, this major has produced a number of big-priced winners and Boo might just be the next.
Dan Geraghty - Back Keegan Bradley @ 34.033/1
I've never been the biggest Keegan Bradley fan; the slow-play, the triple jump style approach to the ball, the spitting (since rectified). I do like the way he gives the ol' evil eye to the ball on the putting green and his ability to hole putts under pressure cannot be denied. Following his fine second placing in last week's Bridgestone Invitational Bradley leaped into the top ten of the world golf rankings and looks to be coming into form at the perfect time. The twitchy American was third in last year's PGA Championship and took home the title in 2011, his first Major appearance.rong>
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