Shriners Open: Palmer can dazzle in Vegas
After a 100/1 place last week, Dave Tindall looks for more success with three each-way picks for this week's showdown in Las Vegas...
"One of his attributes is getting in the zone and riding streaks – he once played eight holes in the old Bob Hope event in nine-under – and being a prolific birdie maker is always a good asset for this week’s shootout in Vegas."
Each-way terms: 1/5 odds, 7 places
Main Bet: Back Ryan Palmer each-way @ 66/1
We last saw Ryan Palmer on the PGA Tour shooting a stunning 62 to finish tied third at the CJ Cup in South Korea.
The American finished his day with seven straight birdies, his point at the sky on the final hole to honour a lifelong friend lost recently to cancer.
Palmer has had some tough times in recent years with the loss of his father but has found solace on the golf course and still has plenty to offer.
One of his attributes is getting in the zone and riding streaks - he once played eight holes in the old Bob Hope event in nine-under - and being a prolific birdie maker is always a good asset for this week's shootout in Vegas.
High winds meant Patrick Cantlay took the title with 9-under last year but previous winning scores reading back from 2016 were -20, -16, -20, -24, -24, -23, -21..... you get the idea.
Palmer hasn't played this event for a few years but last time he opened with a 65 before finishing T16 and three visits earlier was T8 after again opening with a 7-under lap on day one.
He was T12 after 54 holes on his next start there and rewind back to 2005 and he once opened this event with a 62 to lead after day one.
As well as his third at the CJ Cup, the 42-year-old started the FedEx Cup play-offs with a top five in The Northern Trust after closing with a 65 (he does like these low rounds) and the start of July brought a T8 at the Quicken Loans so there is plenty of good recent form to back up the historical stuff.
Also add in splash of location form. Palmer's last two visits to Nevada show T9 and T26 in the Barracuda Championship, his 2017 top 10 secured with a Sunday 64.
An in-form player, who can go low, I like him at 66/1.
Next Best: Back Ryan Moore each-way @ 50/1
When Ryan Moore finished runner-up at the 2018/19 season-opening Safeway Open at the start of October, it's hard to imagine that he would go off at 50/1 for this.
This is Moore's hometown event. He went to college at UNLV and now calls Las Vegas home.
That's all well and good and would seem to suggest he should shine in the gambling capital but the proof is there in the results. Moore won this title in 2012, made the top 10 in 2009 and 2013 and added another top 15 two years ago.
The top 15 was perhaps a little better than on first glance as Moore admitted that week that he found the time change difficult after playing here the week after back-to-back weeks in Malaysia and China.
He doesn't have that same problem this time as he didn't contest last week's WGC-HSBC in Shanghai so has been able to adjust after playing the CIMB Classic and CJ Cup.
It was his disappointing performances in those two events - 66th and 61st - that probably explains his price here but there was nothing horrible about those two efforts and his highest round of the eight was a 73.
True, Moore has played well in Asia before so it's harder to brush it under the carpet but two of his last four starts on home American soil show a sixth at the Wyndham Championship and that runners-up finish at the Safeway.
TPC Summerlin is often described a positional course and that's why it's a good fit for Moore as he hits so many fairways (1st in Driving Accuracy at the Safeway).
Moore said a few years ago that home advantage was "huge" but that he also had to battle complacency given that he knew the course so well.
He addressed that by stopping hitting shots that he wouldn't try and pull off in tournament conditions. It resulted in less bogeys and made the birdies count for more.
If the putts drop on greens he knows just about better than anyone, he could make a mockery of that 50/1.
Final Bet: Back Chesson Hadley each-way @ 50/1
Looking at the front of the market, Rickie Fowler, Tony Finau and even Jordan Spieth haven't won enough of late to back them at 11s, 11s and 12s.
The one who has is Bryson DeChambeau at 14s after two victories in his last four starts and four in his 11. There was also a rather chastening Ryder Cup debut inbetween.
However, I'd rather back him at a bigger price in a better field so it's a 'no'.
Instead, I'll go back to the 50/1 shots and try Chesson Hadley.
The American has played this event four times and landed the each-way money twice.
He delivered his first payout when T5 in 2013 while last year, in tougher conditions, he battled back from an opening 74 to crack the top four.
On debut, he said: "It just really fits my eye well, and it resembles a lot of the courses that I feel like I've played in the past, especially college golf. You've got to go make a bunch of birdies."
To complete a fairly straightforward recipe, Hadley also has current form after finishing joint runner-up at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia two starts ago after firing 21-under.
"I haven't been playing well for a while and to have a good tournament like this is really, really nice," said Hadley.
"Got the putter going this week, which was great. That's really been the reason why I haven't been playing well. My long game's been excellent, but I just haven't been able to get the ball in the hole and if you can't do that, you're not going to score, but I was able to score this week."
The 31-year-old was ranked second for Putting Average on debut in 2013 and sixth last year so he putts these greens well.
Hadley got hot this time last year with a run of 3-2-4 on the PGA Tour and, after his big finish in Malaysia, I'm hoping he can.... altogether now.... hit the jackpot in Vegas.
Dave's 2018/19 PGA Tour P/L (based on £5 ew per selection outrights, £10 win top 5s/10s)