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Sanderson Farms Championship: Back Bronson for first win

American Bronson Burgoon
Bronson Burgoon can claim first win
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It's the second event of the 2019/20 PGA Tour schedule and Dave Tindall has three picks for the action in Mississippi..

"Going back to basics has definitely helped him turn a corner and hopefully Burgoon can get the ultimate reward here - a course where he posted a top 20 on debut."

Main Bet: Bronson Burgoon each-way @ 66/1

All six champions at the Country Club of Jackson have been first-time winners on the PGA Tour and, as a result, we've seen some tasty prices, too.

And for my first pick I'm going to chance my arm on Bronson Burgoon at 66s.

The Texan hasn't had the smooth ascent that his talent has hinted at but he's a two-time runner-up on the PGA Tour so that first win isn't too far away. Those second places were in the John Deere Classic and CIMB Classic - both in 2018.

Looking at his scores, he blasted a 62 on the way to 19-under at the John Deere and fired an opening 63 on the way to 21-under at last October's CIMB Classic.

In other words, if he's going to get over the line, a birdie-fest like this one looks a likely place.

Burgoon's last five starts show a pair of top fives (Barracuda Championship and Boise Open) and twin tied 19ths (Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship and last week's Greenbrier).

His last eight rounds have all been in the 60s (includes a pair of 65s).

That's quite a turnaround from the rather morbid figure he cut earlier in the year when stating: "Right after Memorial I was in a pretty dark place when it came to my golf game. I took two weeks off and regrouped and refocused and got a lot of really good work in.

"Just kind of went back to the basics. I got pretty tangled up in a lot of different thoughts and trying new things almost every week. I was searching every week, every shot, looking for something, and just playing miserable golf."

Going back to basics has definitely helped him turn a corner and hopefully Burgoon can get the ultimate reward here - a course where he posted a top 20 on debut in 2015 (WD on only other start in 2017).

Next Best: Brian Harman each-way @ 30/1

Brian Harman is my idea of the most reliable choice from the top 10 in the betting.

That may seem a little strange seeing as this is his course debut but this is a fairly standard par 72 on the PGA Tour and it's not a place that needs a great deal of learning.

Instead, I feel happy to lean on the left-hander's current form. There are eight each-way payout places this week and Harman has racked up four top eights in his last eight starts.

That run started at the Travelers Championship (T8), continued at the 3M Open (T7) and Wyndham Championship (T6) before he showed that no momentum had been lost by posting T3 at the Greenbrier Classic on Sunday.

Harman's 72-hole scores in those four events were -10, -16, -16 and -14 and sifting through his scorecards shows five 65s and six 66s.

These are the kind of rounds needed at the Country Club of Jackson this week where the six winning scores at the par 72 have been -20, -16, -18, -20, -19 and -21.

Harman is one of those players who stays hot when he gets on a roll. After winning the 2017 Wells Fargo Championship, he finished T7 at Colonial two starts later and was then runner-up in the following month's US Open.

And at the back end of 2017 and into early 2018 he went on a top 10 spree, connecting five in a row from the CJ Cup to the Sony Open. Those finishes: 5-8-4-3-4.

He's definitely into streak mode again and, ahead of this birdie-fest, I particularly like how hot is putter is.

In that quartet of recent top 10s he's gained at least eight strokes on the field with the flatstick and last week at The Old White he ranked 3rd in SG: Putting, hitting double figures (10.581).

"It's nice the way the fall is set up this year, and excited about the next few weeks," said Harman on Sunday and everything points to another visit to page one of the leaderboard and hopefully top spot.

Final Bet: Stephan Jaeger each-way @ 300/1

I'll end with a right old punt.

Stephen Jaeger had to come through a Monday qualifier to make it into the field but he claimed one of the four spots with a 64, beating his nearest rival by two shots.

That was at Deerfield Golf Club in Canton and marked a return to form after a poor recent run.

But you don't have to go too far back to find some signs of promise. In July he was T22 at the Barbasol while the German had back-to-back top 20s at the Byron Nelson (T17) and Canadian Open (T14) in May/June.

Jaeger once shot a ridiculous 58 on the Korn Ferry Tour while he won the second tier's Knoxville Open with a pair of weekend 64s.

It came in the middle of a terrible run of missed cuts (four either side) so he can just find something.

Jaeger has had three starts at this course and improved his finish each time. There was a missed cut in 2016, a T51 in 2017 and last year he posted tied 14th after shooting 10-under on the weekend.

Having won four times on the Korn Ferry, perhaps it's time to step up and land a PGA Tour title. If it's going to happen, a low-scoring, low-key event looks the most likely candidate.

Others at huge odds I considered were Rob Oppenheim at 200s (T18 here last year and T24 at the Greenbrier after two top 10s on the Korn Ferry) and 125/1 Zac Blair (recent Korn Ferry Tour winner and T18 at Jackson on his last visit two years ago).

Dave's 2019/20 PGA Tour P/L (based on £5 ew per selection outrights, £10 win top 5s/10s)

Staked: £30
Returned: £0
P/L: -£30

2018/2019 P/L: -£338.25
2017/2018 P/L: +£362.84
2016/2017 P/L: +£1179.89

Dave Tindall,

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