RBC Canadian Open: Three to play in the First Round Leader market

American Charley Hoffman
Charley Hoffman can start fast

Dave Tindall looks for early success in the RBC Canadian Open at Glen Abbey with these three picks...

"Hoffman is a real course horse at Glen Abbey and his last three visits show a second place last year, T7 in 2015 and T16 in 2013."

Back Charley Hoffman each-way @ 40/1

*EW Terms: 1/4 Odds | 6 Places

Weather: With the course already softened by recent rains, there could be more of the wet stuff on Wednesday night. It looks as if the morning starters could dodge the precipitation for most of their rounds but the forecast suggests a 50% chance of rain at midday and into the afternoon.

History: We had a five-way tie for the R1 lead last year, with four of those teeing off in the afternoon. Dustin Johnson (a.m.) and Luke List (p.m.) shared the Thursday lead in 2016 after firing 66s, while the solo first-round leaders in the previous two Glen Abbey staging both headed out in the morning.

Conclusion: There's no real bias according to recent history and the mixed weather forecast suggests it's better to spread the risk and choose a player from each wave. I'm just about leading towards a 2-1 a.m./p.m. split.

Hoff to go low early

Charley Hoffman returns from Scotland having taken his sequence of top 20s to four with T19 in the Scottish Open and T17 in the Open Championship.

Those two solid displays followed T15 in the Travelers and T20 in the US Open so he's playing some good stuff.

Filtering out his first round scores isn't particularly helpful but he was T6 after day one of the US Open and two starts earlier in second place after the opening lap at Colonial thanks to a 63.

A popular pick for R1 leader at Augusta National where he led after day one in 2017 and was in the top four this year, Hoffman is a real course horse at Glen Abbey and his last three visits show a second place last year, T7 in 2015 and T16 in 2013.

He's fired a 65 and two 66s in his last seven circuits of the Ontario course so can go low there.

Hopefully he can come out of the gate fast from his 1:25pm tee-time as the 40/1 looks a decent price.

Mahan can make hay on day one

Hunter Mahan found some form with T7 in last week's Barbasol Championship - his first top 10 on the PGA Tour for over three years.

However, it hasn't been unusual to spot him on a first-round leaderboard during his lengthy drought. In fact, he's finished inside the top five after round one in three of his last 22 tournaments in America.

"Finally feeling comfortable, finally feeling like I know how to attack pins and I know how far I'm going to hit the shot and all those things that encompass being confident on the golf course and not having any fear of the result," said Mahan last week.

Asked what was working, he responded: "Been killing the par-5s. Been able to get up there on the green and make a bunch of easy birdies."

There are four to go at this week so hopefully Mahan can make hay early.

He's been a first-round leader in this event before and I'm hoping he can carry his good play over.

Mahan tees off at 08:30.

Joel can get on an early roll

Fast starts can come in bunches.

We've seen it with rookies Beau Hossler and Keith Mitchell earlier this season and, talking of Keiths, the latest quickfirestarter while, not exactly a young prodigy, is another relatively new face at this level - Joel Dahmen.

The 30-year-old American played on the PGA Tour of Canada at the start of the decade, winning twice in 2014 to top their Order of Merit, so should enjoy this return.

He's hit a purple patch of consistency this season after regaining his card via the Web.com finals with no less than eight top 25s in his last 10 events.

Dahmen has added fast starts to his repertoire in recent times and this is where he's stood after 18 holes of his last four events - 2-3-24-7. His round one scores? 65-64-67-66.

He'll tee off with a pair of locals - Russell Budd and Jared du Toit - in round one at 09:00 and is 100/1 in the FRL market.

Dave's 2017/18 R1 leader P/L (based on £5 ew per selection)

Staked: £510
Returned: £494.56
P/L: -£15.44

(After the Open Championship)

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