Dave Tindall picks out three players to get onside early at this week's Quicken Loans National...
"Wagner finished tied fifth in this event last year, paving the way for his best finish of the campaign with an opening 66."
*EW Terms: 1/4 Odds | 5 Places
Weather: Weather could be a pesky element in trying to solve this week's puzzle. Firstly, it's going to be very, very hot this week but, as if often the case, the skies may need relief from the humidity. There could be a thunderstorm on Wednesday while Thursday's forecast is predicting a storm in the early afternoon. Perhaps the early players will finish before then? Perhaps the later starters will be able to resume their rounds on a softened course?
History: There's hardly any! For the record, when the course hosted this week's event for the first time last year, David Lingmerth was R1 leader with a 65. He'd teed off in the afternoon.
Conclusion: Difficult to favour one wave given the weather and lack of historical data.
Wagner can start fast again
Johnson Wagner finished tied fifth in this event last year, paving the way for his best finish of the campaign with an opening 66.
That put him in second spot after 18 holes while he was also T2 following Thursday's play at the previous week's Travelers Championship.
As for a more recent check of Thursday leaderboard presence, the American again occupied second place after the first lap of the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow three starts ago.
One of the reasons he should do well at this week's course is that Wagner sits fifth in Bogey Avoidance. Keeping out of trouble is important at Potomac and his ability to limit the mistakes could be key.
Wagner, who tees off at 12:44pm, is 90/1 for FRL.
Hossler has to be followed
I put up Beau Hossler in this market last week and, frustratingly, he came up one shot short of the each-way cash after a 65.
He'd also opened with 66 at Memorial and 64 at Colonial so these quick starts are becoming a very welcome habit.
I've also put him up in my outright preview so definitely think he's worth keeping onside at the moment following his eventual second place at TPC River Highlands last week.
Hossler says he feels refreshed after perhaps overplaying earlier in the season and that mental clarity can definitely play a part in him getting out of traps quick again.
Second in Round 1 Scoring Average this season, Hossler fires from the canon at 12.32pm. Take him at 40/1.
Abraham could be the Ancer
Abraham Ancer has missed his last two cuts but that hasn't been down to slow starts.
He shot an opening 67 to be in the top 25 after day one at last week's Travelers Championship and started out with 69 at St Jude.
Prior to that, he'd carded a superb 65 to be first-round leader at the Memorial Tournament while he was in the top four after 18 holes of the Byron Nelson Championship.
With hot temperatures forecast this week, the Texas-based Mexican won't mind the heat and his 23rd place in R1 scoring shows, at this point of his career, he's doing his best work early.
Of those at a three-figure price (100/1), he's the one I like from the morning wave (08.32).
Dave's 2017/18 R1 leader P/L (based on £5 ew per selection)
(After the Travelers Championship)