Greenbrier Classic: Na can go far at Old White

American Kevin Na
Kevin Na can land some more each-way profits

Dave Tindall looks for more profits in this week's Greenbrier Classic with three selections...

"He may struggle to get his nose in front on the line but Kevin Na has done plenty of favours to each-way punters down the years and again in recent times too."

Back Kevin Na each-way @ 45/1

Each-way terms: 1/5 odds, 7 places

Main Bet: Back Kevin Na each-way @ 45/1

He may struggle to get his nose in front on the line but Kevin Na has done plenty of favours to each-way punters down the years and again in recent times too.

The American landed the cash in back-to-back weeks when T6 at the Byron Nelson Championship and T4 at the Forth Worth Invitational and he also popped over to play the Korean Open a couple of weeks ago and added tied fifth.

Also runner-up at the Genesis Open at Riviera earlier this season, Na will be making his fifth start at The Old White TPC this year.

He's cashed in all four starts, shooting a round of 65 in three of those visits. The one he recorded in 2012 helped him finish tied seventh.

This will be his first look since the course was renovated after the 2016 edition was cancelled due to flooding but Na should have the tools to do well.

He ranks 36th in Strokes Gained: Approach-The-Green this season and can get hot-streaks with the putter.

Na highlighted that at Colonial recently where he opened with 62 on Thursday and closed with a 61 on Sunday.

"I putted great first round and final round. Second round I putted awful. I went back to my putter I played with last week in round three and then I putted great today. That putter only lasted one round, a good round.

"But I'm very pleased. My putting has been kind of up and down this year, but I had a great putting day today."

In the hope that Na's flat-stick glows red, he's worth an each-way investment at 45/1.

Next Best: Back Joaquin Niemann each-way @ 25/1

I can't pretend this is a great price but it seems Joaquin Neimann looks on the verge of something very big sooner rather than later.

The young Chilean has caught the eye with T6 in the Texas Open, T8 at Colonial, T6 at Memorial and T17 in last week's Quicken Loans National.

I'm looking for strong greens in regulation number this week and in those four events his GIR rankings were seventh, third, ninth and third.

At the Quicken Loans, Niemann shot 68-67-74-65 so Saturday cost him but, just as telling, was the way he bounced back from it.

He's been shooting plenty of low numbers in the last couple of months - three rounds of 65 in his last 12 laps - and just needs to eliminate that one bad day.

It was actually a similar story in this event last year when, still an amateur, he finished T29. After a pair of opening 68s, a third-round 75 left him way down the field but, once more, he responded impressively with a closing 64.

On the Bentgrass greens of Memorial, he recorded Strokes Gained: Putting stats of 5.791 for the week and we're on Bent again at The Old White which adds another layer of confidence.

All in all, taking the 25/1 could prove a smart move.

At the front of the market, I'm a big Tony Finau fan but not at 12s given that he has the same number of PGA Tour wins as 45/1 Na.

Bubba Watson has banked three titles in 2018 but can't win again here surely while Phil Mickelson at 14s doesn't get my interest.

It's easy to make cases for Sawgrass winner Webb Simpson (third here in 2014) and Russell Henley (T6 Travelers and top five on his last two starts in this event) but 16s and 18s respectively weren't quite for me.

Note, Niemann can also be backed at 25/1 in a market without Finau, Mickelson and Watson.

Although the price is the same as his outright price, the trade-off is in the each-way places with 1/4 1,2,3,4,5 being offered.

If you genuinely fear those front three in the betting, it's a decent alternative.

Final Bet: Back Abraham Ancer each-way @ 100/1

If he can handle his country Mexico going out in the last 16 for the seventh World Cup running, I think Abraham Ancer can have another big week.

He gave me some nice first-round profits at last week's Quicken Loans National when opening with a 65 and put himself in great position to win the tournament after a Saturday 62.

It wasn't to be on Sunday as he shot 10 shots higher to finish tied fourth but that's money in the bank in terms of experience and he'll know more for next time.

Hopefully that time is this week. A couple things stand out from Ancer's performance in Maryland.

Firstly, he ranked fifth for Greens In Regulation (75%) and that appears to be an important stat at this week's venue going off last year's numbers.

Secondly, given the putting surfaces being used this week, he noted: "I love bent greens and these ones are really good and they roll real true. I feel like I read the greens really well."

Sometimes a young player has a big week and then fades away for a while but it can also go the other way and fuel a run of good results.

When Ancer recorded his then best result of the season, T16 at the Valspar Championship, he followed it with T13 in the Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship and T8 at the Houston Open.

After a dip of form, I'm hoping last week's tied fourth sparks another run.

There's certainly enough juice in his price at 100/1 and he gets the final nod. Vote Ancer.

Dave's 2017/18 PGA Tour P/L (based on £5 ew per selection outrights, £10 win top 5s/10s)

Staked: £1000
Returned: £1357.84
P/L: +£357.84

(After the Quicken Loans National)

P/L: +£1179.89

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