Find Me a 100 Winner: Money list worries can spur these two outsiders

Florian Fritsch (left, with Michael Ballack at the Alfred Dunhill Links) has shown plenty of promise lately
Florian Fritsch (left, with Michael Ballack at the Alfred Dunhill Links) has shown plenty of promise lately

Our weekly outsiders column looks at the Portugal Masters, which Paul Krishnamurty argues is a good place to be backing strugglers on the Race to Dubai, who are running out of chances to retain playing rights for next season...


"Florian Fritsch was in very promising form up until just three rounds ago, yet odds of 150.0 suggests all that has been forgotten."

This week's Portugal Masters is the last event in mainland Europe of the Race to Dubai and will either literally be, or at least feel like, last chance saloon for players below 110th place. The incentive of avoiding a stressful trip to Q-School so often acts as a spur towards marked improvement and, in a tournament where outsiders have a decent record, there's plenty of mileage in considering players around the cut-line.

One name really stands out amongst those outsiders within our triple-figure price range. Florian Fritsch has done well to even reach 119th place, given that he refuses to fly. He was in very promising form up until just three rounds ago, yet odds of 150.0149/1 suggests all that has been forgotten.

Fritsch was one of this column's picks three weeks ago at the European Open, where he was bang in contention for 36 holes and frustratingly came within a couple of points of our lay target, before falling away. The following week at the high-class Dunhill Links, he was second with a round to go.

Granted, he fell away again but nerves under pressure are not necessarily ruinous for betting purposes if the lay targets are hit. Despite a missed cut last week, Fritsch has now made six of his last eight top-30s.

300.0299/1 chance Daniel Brooks is probably just about safe in 100th place but could still do with a good week to make sure, and a great one would keep the dream target of the top-60 and a place in the DP World Championship still alive.

I liked the way Brooks stepped up to the challenge when chasing an Open Championship place earlier this summer. Finishing 20th and seventh amongst high-class fields in the French and Scottish Open fields is good form and he was going well last week until a poor final round.

He's a good putter capable of a hot streak in a low-scoring affair like this and has won before in Portugal, at the Madeira Island Open.

The trading advice is to stake three units in total on the pair, then place lay orders on both at 15.014/1 and 3.02/1, with a view towards banking a profit in-running. If either man hits the first lay target, we'll be guaranteed to at least quadruple our money, whilst retaining substantial extra positions.


Recommended Bets

Back Florian Fritsch 2u @ 150.0149/1
Back Daniel Brooks 1u @ 300.0299/1

Place order to lay both players 12u @ 15.014/1
Place order to lay both players 20u @ 3.02/1


2015 Profit/Loss:

+12 units

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