Find Me a Winner: Three triple-figure picks for the Volvo China Open

Jorge Campillo has become a model of consistency
Jorge Campillo has become a model of consistency

Fresh off another profitable week for the column, Paul Krishnamurty looks through the China Open field in search of value at 100/1 or more...

"The Spaniard is already proving to be a top-20 machine - registering no fewer than 18 since October 2015. Now 30, he's at the age where so many reach their peak."

Back Jorge Campillo for a Top 20 Finish 2u @ 11/4

Close, but no cigar, for the third week running! While it is always nice to turn a profit, after having two players constantly on the Sunday leaderboard, to only make 12 units out of Cameron Smith and Brian Gay was rather frustrating. No matter, these things even out over the course of the season and hopefully, where Smith unluckily missed the places by one shot, perhaps another pick will sneak in fortuitously.

This week's plan is solely focused on the Volvo China Open, because the Zurich Classic has become a pairs event. A real shame, because that event has often been great for backing outsiders but I think the new format will very much favour some classy pairs near the head of the market.


Back Ricardo Gouveia 1 unit each way @ 100/1

First, I'm following Steve Rawlings in on his each-way selection. Rated highly after an outstanding Challenge Tour campaign in 2015, Gouveia showed glimpses of that potential during his rookie season on the main tour, with a best of third place at the Nedbank.

The 25-year-old is precisely the type to break through this term and the last fortnight has been encouraging, finishing top-20 in Morocco and closing well with 69/67 at the weekend. He seems best in a low-scoring contest where good putting is essential and that seems likely to be the case at Topwin, as Steve explains in his comprehensive preview.


Back Jorge Campillo 2u @ 120.0119/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 15.014/1

Back Jorge Campillo for a Top 20 Finish 2u @ 11/4

Here's another that I can see breaking through this season. The Spaniard is already proving to be a top-20 machine - registering no fewer than 18 since October 2015 - and is also recommended in that market. Now 30, he's at the age where so many reach their peak and, sooner or later, consistency will pay dividends.

Campillo's record in Asia is very promising. He's twice finished top-four in India and Malaysia, along with six other top-25s in these co-sanctioned events. He will need to contend in order to be matched at the lay target of 15.014/1 but, if he can get up there early, I suspect the market will afford plenty of respect, considering he was runner-up in the Tshwane Open only a few weeks ago.


Back Carlos Pigem 2u @ 250.0249/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 25.024/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 10.09/1

Against what is no more than an average standard Euro Tour line-up, it is surprising to see Pigem still trading in triple-figures. Granted he is a new name to most punters but his numbers are simply better than odds of 250.0249/1 imply. His last eight starts at this level have yielded four top-13 finishes, and he's also been runner-up in the Myanmar Open during that spell.

Indeed he played well when carrying our cash on his penultimate start, without quite managing to shorten to the lay target. That was in his national Open but, having played most of his golf in Asia, the Spaniard may be more effective over here.

Again, let's try a back to lay, in this case setting two in-running lay targets at 25.024/1 and 10.09/1, with a view towards partially cashing out for profit.



Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty

2017 Profit/Loss

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