Find Me a 100 Winner: This week's best three outsider bets

Golfer Jim Furyk
Jim Furyk should enjoy this week more than the Ryder Cup
Join today View market

Paul Krishnamurty selects players available to back at 99-1 or better for both of this week's main tour events...

"Kinhult was fourth at the Portugal Masters and...he's maintained decent form with two top-25s from three since. The Swede has hit an impressive 3.92 birdies per round over the last year, so is evidently well suited to this challenge."

Back Marcus Kinhult @ [110.0]

Kinhult well suited to Turkish birdie-fest

Back Marcus Kinhult 2u @ [110.0]
Place order to lay 30u @ [6.0]

There can't be many scenarios where the leading four players for strokes gained putting are all available at 99-1 or better, but that is the case for this week's Turkish Airlines Open. Given that low scoring is certain and a hot putter an absolute pre-requisite for success, following these stats could be the way forward.

That quartet, in order of sgp ranking, are Chris Paisley, Marcus Kinhult, Paul Dunne and Jorge Campillo. Paisley and Campillo made the shortlist but preference is for Dave Tindall's each-way pick - whose rookie season has been stacked with promise.

Kinhult earned this column a profit at another low-scoring event recently, when fourth at the Portugal Masters, and it is a surprise to see him still trading this high, considering he's maintained decent form with two top-25s from three since. The Swede has hit an impressive 3.92 birdies per round over the last year, so is evidently well suited to this challenge.

A further possible clue could lie in the tree-lined layout. In his comprehensive preview, Steve Rawlings notes that Walton Heath was the inspiration for Regnum Carya Golf and Spa Resort and we have assumed a correlation between that Surrey track and Wentworth in the past. Kinhult's best two performances so far came in Rolex Series events at Wentworth and another tight course in Le Golf National.

Don't dismiss Summerlin specialist Furyk

The Shriners Hospital for Children Open is famous for producing massive upsets and I certainly wouldn't deter anyone from following Steve's plan to lay the top-20 market leaders.

Literally anyone can win this, as evidenced by Rod Pampling's victory two years ago, or earlier this century the likes of Marc Turnesa, Andre Stolz and Wes Short. By comparison, my two picks are obvious.

Back Jim Furyk 2u @ [250.0]
Place order to lay 10u @ [25.0]
Place order to lay 15u @ [10.0]

First a course specialist. Furyk has won this event twice, registered three further top-four finishes and only once finished worse than 22nd. This is a course that rewards accuracy and demands good putting - perfect for the once ultra-consistent, former US Open champion.

While he's obviously ageing and inevitably often left behind in this bomber-friendly era, Furyk is still competitive. Playing while being Ryder Cup captain is an enormous challenge, but Jim has had his moments this year despite all the distractions. He was seventh at the Valspar, fourth last time out at the Wyndham (another birdie-fest) and was even on the fringes of contention through 54 holes at the US Open.

Dahmen set to thrive on bentgrass

Back Joel Dahmen 2u @ [250.0]
Place order to lay 10u @ [25.0]
Place order to lay 15u @ [10.0]

I've backed this promising type a couple of times recently without success but Dahmen didn't disgrace himself in the CJ Cup last time, finishing top-30. It is only three months since he recorded five straight top-25 finishes including a trio of top-eights, all in low scoring events.

One factor I really like about this week is his record on bentgrass greens. According to Josh Culp's invaluable Future of Fantasy stats, Dahmen is very much a bentgrass specialist, scoring 1.539 for strokes gained on these surfaces compared to 1.023 overall.

Finally a quick mention about my first reserve, if anyone pulls out. Barbasol winner Troy Merritt is ideally suited to a birdie fest and, having finished fourth on his penultimate start, appeals somewhat at [230.0]. A lack of form around Summerlin put me off but the same could be said of many former champions here.


Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty

2018 Profit/Loss

-74 units

Join today View market

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles