This week's column focuses on the Italian Open, where Paul Krishnamurty reckons a couple of huge-priced candidates can build on some impressive recent form...
"Paratore was fifth on his penultimate start, and registered a trio of top-25s finishes in much better fields than this ...most notably when 13th at the Dubai Desert Classic."
We haven't seen an Italian Open at Golf Club de Milano for over 20 years, but if it's like the other venues used in recent times, backing outsiders looks a solid strategy. Winners have been a mixture between the fairly obvious and the impossible to find, but there have more or less always been outsiders in-contention and available to lay at much shorter than their starting prices.
Literally from the moment I saw the odds about Pelle Edberg, he was guaranteed to be part of one betting plan or another. That early price shrewdie Steve Rawlings beat me to it in terms of claiming him for the each-way column and, at 150.0149/1, he's the perfect fit for this too.
The Swede, who disappeared completely off the European Tour radar for years, is red-hot right now. Fourth at Crans and second at the Czech Masters, both Edberg's long and short game stats have been outstanding over the past few weeks.
My second pick was also a no-brainer - 18-year-old Renato Paratore has caught the eye as an outstanding prospect on more than one occasion this term and must have a squeak of defying odds of 230.0229/1 in this, his national Open.
Paratore was fifth at the Czech Masters on his penultimate start, and registered a trio of top-25s finishes in much better fields than this at the Scottish Open, European Masters and most notably when 13th at the Dubai Desert Classic.
The trading plan is to stake four units in total on the pair, then place lay orders on each at 15.014/1 and 3.02/1, with a view towards banking a profit in-running. If either man hits the first lay target, we'll be guaranteed to quadruple our money at least, with a substantial extra position still live.
Back Pelle Edberg 2.5u @ 150.0149/1
Back Renato Paratore 1.5u @ 230.0229/1
Place order to lay both players 16u @ 15.014/1
Place order to lay both players 20u @ 3.02/1
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