Players with proven Pebble Beach course form are the ones to concentrate on this week, and our man Paul Krishnamurty has gone for these two big-price outsiders...
"Holmes is a former runner-up amongst three top-16s here and could be underestimated at odds of [160.0] in response to missing his first two cuts of the season."
The nuanced characteristics of Pebble Beach, and this tournament in particular, always mean that past course form around this famous links is not to be sniffed at, and that mindset lies behind both of this week´s selections.
Events around here usually require a liking for windy conditions, the ability to scramble well around small greens and length off the tee always offers an advantage. That applies particularly to the annual Pebble Beach Pro-Am, where generous fairways offer the bombers a stack of birdie opportunities.
Indeed, that probably explains why J.B. Holmes and Jason Kokrak have done well in this event.
Holmes is a former runner-up amongst three top-16s here and could be underestimated at odds of [160.0] in response to missing his first two cuts of the season. Last week´s second round 68 was a vast improvement, ranking third for greens in regulation that day, so he may be coming to hand. This is usually Holmes' best time of year, as illustrated by a good record in California.
Kokrak´s best moments to date have come on the Nationwide Tour, winning twice during the autumn of 2011, but this 27 year-old looks like the sort of outsider capable of making his presence felt on at the higher level when conditions are right. In short, he needs a birdie-fest, which probably explains why he made the top-ten on last year`s Pebble Beach debut and again in another pro-am at the recent Humana Challenge.
The trading advice is to stake 2.5 units in total, then place two lay orders on each man at [15.0] and [3.0] to bank profit. If either man hits the first target, we´ll quadruple our initial outlay.
Updated 2013 Stats -12.5u