Find Me a 100 Winner: Keep the faith with these two top European Tour prospects

Persevering with Eddie Pepperell should pay over the long-term
Persevering with Eddie Pepperell should pay over the long-term

Paul Krishnamurty's weekly trading column takes on the Portugal Masters, an event which he argues can play to the strengths of inexperienced rising stars...

"Eddie Pepperell's professional career is still very much in it's infancy but all the signs point to an extremely bright future for this one-time star amateur."

The name of the game at Oceanico Victoria GC, home to this week's Portugal Masters, is simple. Make birdies and lots of them. The highest winning score in five renewals at this track was -14, the lowest -21. A further clue is that the leaderboards tended to be packed with birdie-machine types, including defending champion Shane Lowry and course specialist Alvaro Quiros. That relatively straightforward test can also play to the strengths of younger, inexperienced players, as illustrated by Tom Lewis' victory in 2012 on one of his earliest professional starts. 

With those criteria in mind, this could be a good opportunity for two of the European Tour's best long-term prospects to register a maiden victory. First up, Romain Wattel at 140.0139/1.  This is Wattel's third season and, to be honest, the Frenchman's progress has rather stalled since an eyecatching rookie campaign. Nevertheless, he finished a close eighth in the Italian Open on his penultimate start and his wider profile suggests low-scoring events where the emphasis is on putting and birdies are his forte.

After only 20 starts on the main tour, Eddie Pepperell's professional career is still very much in its infancy but all the signs point to an extremely bright future for this one-time star amateur. Despite failing to hit the lay target, he gave us a good run for our money last time at the Dunhill Links, faring well in contention for three rounds, and I'm surprised to see odds of 260.0259/1 still available. That performance in Scotland certainly shows he can make a stack of birdies, as does the fact he ranks seventh for birdie average among this company over the last three months.

The trading advice is to stake three units in total, then place lay orders at 15.014/1 and 3.02/1. If either hits the first target, we'll quadruple our initial outlay.

Recommended Bets
Back Romain Wattel 2u @ 140.0139/1
Back Eddie Pepperell 1u @ 260.0259/1

Place order to lay both players 12u @ 15.014/1
Place order to lay both players 20u @ 3.02/1

Updated 2013 Stats: +8.5 units

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