Find Me a 100 Winner: A trio of outsiders to follow at Crans

Golfer Fabrizio Zanotti
Fabrizio Zanotti has a good record at Crans

Paul Krishnamurty has scoured the vast bank of outsiders in search of value at Crans-sur-Sierre. Check out his picks here...

"Zanotti's Crans form is excellent, finishing 24/3/16 in the last three renewals...I'm expecting him to arrive fresh and ready for one of his best opportunities of the year."

Back Fabrizio Zanotti 0.5u win @ 230.0229/1

It must be said, this column's task is a very tall order at this time of year. As per usual, the FedEx Cup was dominated by the big-guns and we haven't seen any outsiders contend at the business end in the last fortnight on the European Tour either.

This week there is only the one main tour event to focus upon and, as Steve Rawlings rightly points out in his comprehensive preview, the Omega European Masters is another fixture where the cream invariably rises to the top.

Fortunately, FedEx champ Rory McIlroy is in attendance and that means vastly inflated prices about everybody else. In fact, the shortlist was longer than usual, if only because of the huge odds available.

Rai looks well-suited to Crans

Back Aaron Rai 1u each-way @ 100/1

As I'll explain, lack of course experience deterred me from several possibilities. Crans-sur-Sierre is a quirky track, played at altitude and with unique greens. One would think it should take some learning.

That is the only negative so far as Aaron Rai is concerned - he started well enough with 67 on last year's debut but missed the cut. Nevertheless his stats look perfect for this challenge. Over the past year, he ranks 11th and sixth among these for greens in regulation and scrambling respectively.

Recent form is very promising too. 12th place in elite, WGC company at the St Jude was an outstanding effort and he shot 66/65 over the weekend. We've already seen with his Hong Kong Open that Rai is capable of a very high standard and, long-term, he's just the type to contend repeatedly at Crans.

Moli good value to restart good run

Back Edoardo Molinari 2u @ 210.0209/1
Place order to lay 20u @ 15.014/1

Prior to missing last week's 54 hole cut, Molinari had made ten counts on the spin. If we ignore that and a disappointing previous final round when bang in contention of the Czech Masters, these odds look massive.

A class act and multiple winner not so long ago, Molinari is evidently on the way back if his recent long game is any guide. He's a former Crans runner-up and finished no worse than 14th in four visits between 2009 and 2014.

Back Fabrizio Zanotti 0.5u win @ 230.0229/1
Back Fabrizio Zanotti for a Top Ten Finish 1.5u @ 11.521/2

Zanotti's Crans form is excellent, finishing 24/3/16 in the last three renewals. Again, Paraguay's finest brings the right combination of accurate iron play and good scrambling to the table - he ranks top-30 for both in the past year, as well as strokes gained: approach.

His form has slipped back since early season, during which second in Oman was the highlight, but has only missed one cut all year. Zanotti hasn't played for a month so I'm expecting him to arrive fresh and ready for one of his best opportunities of the year.

Numerous alternatives among strong field

Now to those alternatives. 160.0159/1 about Adri Arnaus - thrice runner-up this season including a fortnight ago - is particularly eyecatching. The only negative is that he's a course debutant. Ditto the very promising Guido Migliozzi at 400.0399/1.

My each-way pick Marcus Kinhult is 190.0189/1 on the exchange and I wouldn't deter anyone from Dave Tindall's pick Ashun Wu at 140.0139/1.
Jamie Donaldson 190.0189/1 also has plenty of previous here and showed a second hint of resurgence with fifth last week.

Another with solid course form is Lee Slattery 310.0309/1 - he averages 77% greens in regulation on his last three starts. Victor Perez 230.0229/1 is another overlooked only due to lack of course experience. Finally Matthieu Pavon 480.0479/1 is interesting after closing with 66/64/64 in Gothenburg.

Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty

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