Find Me a 100 Winner: Outsider picks for the World Super 6

Golfer Clement Sordet
Clement Sordet played well last week in Australia

Paul Krishnamurty's target is clear at the World Super 6. Get one of three picks through to the quarter-finals of Sunday's matchplay and bank a profit...

"Previously a four-time winner on the Challenge Tour, the Frenchman might be expected to have the bottle for head-to-head matchplay."

Back Clement Sordet @ 100.099/1

Don't be deterred from an outsider punt this week because the first two World Super 6 winners were pretty obvious. This unique event is made for shocks and perfect for trading purposes.

For a comprehensive overview of the format, check out Steve Rawlings' preview of the event. In short, the top-24 on Sunday start from scratch and play five rounds of six-hole matchplay.

Sunday matchplay format is made for shocks

Matchplay over any length is a great leveller and the betting is inevitably tight over such a short distance. That isn't to say there aren't clues - the first 54 holes are like any normal event.

From our trading perspective, the task is therefore to find outsiders to reach that last-24. Once there, we are two wins over six holes away from a quarter-final spot, and hopefully cashed out at 8.07/1 either before or during that match. Finish top-eight and we're only one match away from the target.

Early starters could be favoured

Over 54 holes, any tee time advantage would be more significant than usual. I always think early/late is better on a firm, fast course, because the greens are at their most receptive on the first morning. Plus the early weather forecast suggests windier conditions - as would be the norm in Perth - in the afternoon.

Back Clement Sordet 2u @ 100.099/1
Place order to lay 20u @ 8.07/1

Finding classy players at 99-1 isn't that easy but we are, of course, primarily concerned with merely reaching the top-24 through 54 holes. On the evidence of last week's eighth place, involving one costly round, Clement Sordet is up to that task.

That result didn't come out of nowhere - he was 11th in Mauritius and 16th at the far superior standard British Masters. Previously a four-time winner on the Challenge Tour, the Frenchman might be expected to have the bottle for head-to-head matchplay and he's a better scrambler than most.

Back Nick Flanagan 1.5u @ 170.0169/1
Place order to lay 20u @ 8.07/1

I was kicking myself when Flanagan led at halfway last week, having put him up as first reserve, and am not missing out this time. That was his second good result in a strong event, following sixth at the PGA, recording excellent greens in regulation stats in both.

Those with long memories may recall Flanagan being touted as a top prospect in the previous decade. A former US Amateur champion, the Aussie went on to win four times on the Nationwide (now Web) Tour. Injuries played a part in his decline but, at 34, he's plenty young enough to come back and results improved in 2018.

Back Harrison Endycott 1u @ 240.0239/1
Place order to lay 20u @ 8.07/1

Next a promising youngster who may be under the market radar. Formerly among the top-ten in the world as an amateur, Endycott chose the Latinoamerica Tour as his first stop as a pro, and has been runner-up twice already.

Although he missed the cut last week, the 22 year-old was runner-up in the previous Victorian Open and played respectably at both the Open and PGA. It may be too early but he evidently has potential - much more so than those around his odds.

Had my each-way pick Scott Vincent or Jake McLeod been trading slightly higher than 85.084/1, they might well have made the plan. Among the afternoon starters, Adam Bland appeals at 170.0169/1. He reached the semis in 2017 and has the right scrambling skills for this matchplay challenge.

Follow Paul on Twitter @paulmotty

2019 Stats:

-28 units

Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles