It is important when betting to avoid developing emotional attachments to players that have done you a favour. For that reason I had to think twice about this week's main selection but, on reflection, Jason Bohn is simply too big at [140.0] to win the McGladrey Classic.
Bohn did this column a favour last time out, when finishing second at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open and was arguably unlucky to run into an on-fire Webb Simpson. That result didn't come out of the blue by any means - he was also second in the Canadian Open and has been putting brilliantly all summer. On the downside, Bohn has no course form to speak of but perhaps that isn't surprising given his journeyman profile. Nevertheless, he's playing in his home state, is clearly in form and after that most recent effort, is bound to warrant market respect if getting into contention.
Secondly, I'm following Steve Rawlings in with Darren Clarke at [200.0]. Forget his general lack of form since winning the 2011 Open. Darren has always been a streaky type and on the most recent evidence he's well motivated and in-form. This linsky Sea Island test should be perfect for him.
Finally at [510.0], I'm chucking a few quid at Briny Baird. As Steve explains, there is a correlation between results here and courses such as Harbour Town and Waialae. Baird has been runner-up at the former and four times a top-12 finisher at the latter. He's only just started back on the PGA Tour after a long injury lay-off and, after promising 26th and 36th placed finishes, this notoriously accurate player should be back in the groove.
The trading plan is to stake four units in total on the trio, then place lay orders on each at [15.0] and [3.0]. If any of them hit the first target, we'll be guaranteed to at least triple the initial outlay.
Updated 2013 Stats: +29.5 unitscomments powered by Disqus