Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 5 places
Favourites - best bet: Dustin Johnson @ 9.08/1
His odds are predictably short but DJ has everything in his favour this week so let's keep it simple and get the favourite onside.
TPC Louisiana is an easy par 72 with four par 5s and scoring will be low. The last three editions have been won with -19, -20 and -19.
Johnson currently leads the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green while he was second in the Putting Average stats at Augusta National last time. That's a powerful combination.
The big-hitting American's T6 at the Masters was by far his best performance in the year's opening major and it followed on from a host of excellent results in 2015.
After returning from his self-enforced sabbatical with a missed cut, the nine-time PGA Tour winner has reeled off a victory at the Cadillac, a playoff defeat at Riviera, a fourth at Pebble and back-to-back top sixes at the Texas Open and the Masters.
He's third on the Money List having played four less events than the two leaders (Jordan Spieth and Jimmy Walker) and really does look to have a golden chance of landing the $1.242m first prize here.
By the way, here are the statistical categories he tops in 2015: Driving Distance, Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green, Total Driving Efficiency, Approaches from 250-275 yards, Putts Per Round - Round 4, Birdie Or Better Conversion Percentage.
In summary, he's the one to beat in a pretty weak field.
Mid-range - best bet: Morgan Hoffman @ 51.050/1
I don't really like anyone at the 33/1 to 45/1 range but was quick to settle on Hoffman at 50s.
It's widely known that this has been an excellent tournament for those looking for a first PGA Tour win. It's also been kind to big hitters.
Step forward Hoffman.
The 25-year-old is 31st in Driving Distance this year and in his last three starts has finished fourth at Bay Hill after leading at halfway, a fine T28 on his Masters debut and ninth in The Heritage last week with four straight rounds in the 60s.
He certainly isn't short of self-belief and said at Bay Hill: "I'm behind my schedule. I would have liked to have won a few times by now. This is my third year out here. It's frustrating."
The first win certainly looks on the way, though, and at The Heritage he gave another indication about the state of his game. "I feel great. Feeling I left a lot out there, and hitting it well," said Hoffman after a second-round 68.
His season-long greens in regulation stats look shabby but he was 14th for G.I.R. at Hilton Head where the small putting surfaces are hard to hit so it looks as if he's turned that part of his game around.
One obvious strength is his putting. Hoffman is 32nd in Strokes Gained: Putting, 10th in Total Putting, 5th in Putting Average, 2nd in 3-Putt Avoidance and also 13th in Birdie Or Better Conversion Percentage so if he can give himself plenty of chances the stats say he'll cash in.
Encouragingly, Hoffman has some decent course form too. He was T21 on debut here after opening 66-69 and sitting fourth at halfway while he was good for three rounds last year (70-68-70) before slipping to T34. "I feel comfortable on the course," he said in 2013.
As a final bonus, his one Web.Com start in this part of the world resulted in a second place at the 2013 Louisiana Open where he shot a third-round 62.
Long-shot - best bet: Troy Merritt @ 81.080/1
It's easy to get into the habit of writing off a young player who lost a final-round lead the week before. "That was his big chance", "He'll be on a downer after missing out" etc, etc.
But, it's amazing how golfers are quick to shake off disappointment and keen to stress the positives in a week where they had a shot at winning.
Certainly, reading through Merritt's final-round interview at last week's Heritage left the impression that he was chuffed at this performance despite failing to convert a three-shot 54-hole lead.
"I had a lot of fun. I hit 11 fairways, 12 greens and two fringes and one was on and rolled off. The ball striking was solid. Lot of putts on the lips and a couple just short. But real pleased with the way I finished, and just happy with the week overall," said the 29-year-old.
"I re-learned again that when the tempo and the golf swing is there, I don't shy away from shots, and I felt I had good control over the golf ball. Really enjoyed myself, hung in there, played a lot of good golf and just didn't quite get it done today. Definitely good momentum going into New Orleans next week."
Back in 2010, Merritt was a PGA Tour rookie heading to this event with a horrid run of seven straight missed cuts behind him. Out of nowhere, he finished third before missing nine of his next 11 cuts.
There have to be some good memories from back then and also some from the 2013 Web.Com's Louisiana Open when he was second with a round to play after opening 67-66-66.
In contrast to 2010, last week's eventual third place at Hilton Head wasn't a bolt from the blue as Merritt was also sixth in the Valspar Championship three starts earlier after closing with a 66.
He's 1st in Total Putting and 4th in Strokes Gained: Putting so has the credentials to get in the mix again and give us a big run for our money at 80/1.
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