Fresh off places for last week's 50/1 and 80/s plays the BB golf team give you a quintet of each-way bets for the WGC-Mexico Championship...
"A tie for 18 at this venue last year looks solid enough but let's remember that Schauffele was second after both 18 and 36 holes and still T6 with a lap to go. The American overcame a slow start to take T15 at Riviera last week and was T10 in Phoenix prior to that. His recent strong Scrambling stats add further confidence as that's been a key skill at Chapultepec. He looks a little underestimated at 28/1."
EW Terms: 1/5 Odds | 7 Places
Dave Tindall: Back Xander Schauffele @ 28/1
The winner of the last WGC played - November's HSBC in China - Schauffele has the game and mentality to add another here in Mexico. A tie for 18 at this venue last year looks solid enough but let's remember that he was second after both 18 and 36 holes and still T6 with a lap to go. The American overcame a slow start to take T15 at Riviera last week and was T10 in Phoenix prior to that. His recent strong Scrambling stats add further confidence as that's been a key skill at Chapultepec. He looks a little underestimated at 28/1.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Cameron Smith @ 60/1
I've been waiting for an opportunity to back Cameron Smith in the States again ever since his odds went into freefall just under a year ago - previously he would have been 150-1 plus here. For me, the ideal set-up is one where power off the tee is not essential, but a tip-top short game is. The first two renewals at Chapultepec bode well for the young Aussie's skills-set - especially the poa annua greens on which he tends to overperform. Smith has already shown in a short career that he has the game for the big events, finishing top-five on his US Open debut and in only his second Masters. He also reached the quarter-finals of last year's World Matchplay and has been in fair form on the PGA Tour this year, since winning the Australian PGA before Christmas.
Steve Rawlings: Back Alexander Bjork @ 200/1
Although an experienced American major champion went on to take the title on both occasions, European Tour players have fared well here in the first two renewals in Mexico. Tommy Fleetwood, Ross Fisher and Thomas Pieters all finished inside the top-five two years ago and Tyrrell Hatton, Rafa Cabrera-Bello and Kiradech Aphibarnrat matched their achievement 12 months ago. With only two renewals to ponder, it isn't an easy event to assess but the results so far suggest great Scrambling stats are important, previous form at tree-lined venues is a plus and well-rested players fare well so step forward 200/1 chance, Alexander Bjork. The Swede hasn't played since finishing 20th in the Dubai Desert Classic three weeks ago, he ran Eddie Pepperell close at tree-lined Walton Heath in the autumn and he's a great scrambler.
Joe Dyer: Back Matt Kuchar @ 50/1
Twice a winner on the PGA Tour this season, Matt Kuchar looks a touch overlooked at 50/1 this week. True, the veteran golfer has cooled across the last fortnight after following up his Sony Open win with a fourth place at the Phoenix Open, but he was nevertheless top 30 in those two events so his form has not gone off a cliff edge. In his in-depth preview, Steve points out that the key stat this week is scrambling and Kuchar nestles in the top 20 for that while possessing good numbers in all other facets. With the Betfair Sportsbook paying out a joint market-leading seven places in a 72-runner field, this place merchant looks well worth a punt and given his new-found taste for winning could even land the big prize.
Mike Norman: Back Paul Casey @ 35/1
After failing to convert a handsome lead at Pebble Beach a fortnight ago there are definite concerns about Paul Casey's 'in-contention mentality', but you don't win 18 worldwide tournaments by being a choker and I genuinely believe that more often than not, other golfers have just played better than him when he's failed to win from a good position. The Englishman is an ultra-consistent performer and has been for a long time, whatever the tournament or venue, and although he's only won once in the last 12 months that victory did come at this time of the year last season. He's started this season's campaign in fine form, recording back-to-back second place finishes before last week's slightly disappointing T25 finish, so we know he's playing well, and he's also finished a very respectable 12th and 16th in his two previous outings in this event at this venue. At an industry-best 35/1 he's very much worthy of consideration this week.
2019 Season P/L to date: -£147.50
- World Super 6, Scott Vincent @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- World Super 6, Paul Dunne @ 50/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Joost Luiten @ 80/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Mauritius Open, Justin Harding @ 30/1 - PLACE (Dave)
*2018 P/L: +£727.16
*2017 P/L: -£306.84
*2016 P/L: +£267.58
*2015 P/L: +£958.37
*2014 P/L: +£251.75