*Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 5 places
Dan Geraghty: Back Thorbjorn Olesen @ 67.066/1
I will take a chance on course debutant Thorbjorn Olesen. The Dane has ultimately had a disappointing couple of seasons but picked up two of his biggest cheques of the year in the last fortnight; first he recorded his second European Tour win in Perth two weeks ago before tying for 28th in Shanghai last week, his best performance there in three attempts. Olesen has shown he can compete at the highest level, he was a factor on Sunday leaderboards at the Open in 2012 (ninth) and then the Masters in '13 (sixth), so don't be surprised to see him go close again if he gets in the mix this weekend.
Joe Dyer: Back Patrick Reed @ 51.050/1
Steve Rawlings tells us that the cream rises to the top of the WGC HSBC Champions and I'm happy to side with a player who considers himself to be in the world's top five, even if the rankings disagree. Patrick Reed is the man in question of course and there are enough similarities between him and last year's winner, Dustin Johnson, to suggest he can go similarly well this week. Reed is long but not hugely accurate off the tee but very good on and around the greens and certainly has the ability to go low on an easy course. There are a host of players I'm surprised to see at shorter odds than my man, who already has a WGC title to his name, and I think the 50-1 is pretty generous.
Steven Rawlings: Back Martin Kaymer @ 26.025/1
With victories at the Players Championship and the US Open already tucked away, it's been a great year for Martin Kaymer but I fancy it can get even better. The likeable German won this event two years ago and was eighth 12 months later when defending, despite not being in form. This is a venue he clearly likes and he has a habit of playing well in the same events. He repeatedly performs well at both the Alfred Dunhill Links and Open de France and he's won the Abu Dhabi Championship three times. We haven't seen him play since he won the Grand Slam of Golf in Bermuda last month so there is a danger he might be a bit rusty but that's the only negative I can see.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Bubba Watson @ 26.025/1
There is a simple rule to follow regarding betting on Bubba. Stick with him loyally on the courses that suit and invariably reward his unique, expansive talents. Then avoid him at all costs on courses where the opposite applies. Such an approach would have already yielded a pair of tastily-priced wins at Riviera and in The Masters this year, along with frequent place returns at venues such as Doral and Torrey Pines. Everything suggests Sheshan is another where Watson should repeatedly thrive, just like his golfing double and dual HSBC champion, Phil Mickelson. Last year's eighth on course debut, shooting four sub-70 rounds, was another promising signal.
Mike Norman: Back Lee Westwood @ 41.040/1
The year 2014 has been a relatively tough one for the Worksop Wonder with just one low-key win in Malaysia to his name back in April. But top-15 finishes in three world class events - US Masters, the Players, and the USPGA Championship - show he retains all of his ability, it seems he just struggles to put four consistent rounds together these days, as demonstrated last week when he sandwiched rounds of 65 and 68 with a 74 at the CIMB Classic. Still, his last two results on the PGA Tour read 12th and 13th, and at this week's venue Sheshan International he has three runner-up finishes to his name, highlighting his excellent form in that part of the world.