Wales Open Tips: Each-way selections for this week's Celtic Manor contest

Can Steve follow up last week's win with Pablo Larrazabal at Celtic Manor?

The betting.betfair golf team landed their fifth outright winner of the season at the Tour Championhip last week thanks to Steve's 22/1 Billy Horschel tip, taking their profit for the year to nearly £300. Here's who the guys fancy ahead of this week's Wales Open...

"Pablo Larrazabal has a very solid record at this time of year, finishing inside the top-ten in one in three events and inside the top-five in one in five September starts."

Steven Rawlings: Back Pablo Larrazabal @ 51.050/1

*Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 5 places

Dan Geraghty: Back Paul Casey @ 17.016/1

There's been a lot of talk this week about the Ryder Cup captain's picks being announced too early, meaning the American team is without some of the most in-form players in world golf, not least Billy Horschel. However, come Sunday afternoon it might be the Europeans pining for a star name that's not on the teamsheet. Paul Casey's much needed victory at last week's KLM Open catapulted him into the World's top 65; this week he attempts to follow up that victory on a course that hosted the 2010 Ryder Cup, a tournament the Englishman cruelly missed out on despite being in a rich vein of form. With Casey a two-time Gleneagles winner, another good performance this week could see his absence hurting even more than Horschel's.

Joe Dyer: Back Oliver Fisher @ 81.080/1

Though just 26-years-old, Oliver Fisher has stacked up an astonishing 231 European Tour events played but, for me, this will go down as the year he has finally matured into a 'proper' player. This son of Chingford has found real consistency in 2014, finished runner-up at the African Open alongside four other top 10s to make this his best year yet in terms of results. Steve Rawlings identifies form at le Golf National as a good pointer this week so Fisher's two top 10s there are encouraging as is his sixth place at Celtic Manor in 2009. Long and accurate off both tee and fairway, this is a good opportunity for Fisher to bag a deserved win in what has been an impressive campaign.

Steven Rawlings: Back Pablo Larrazabal @ 51.050/1

There's a lot to like about amiable Spaniard, Pablo Larrazabal, at this week's Wales Open. He has a very solid record at this time of year, finishing inside the top-ten in one in three events and inside the top-five in one in five September starts. He's a former winner of the Open de France at Le Golf National, a venue that correlates very nicely with the Twenty Ten Course at Celtic Manor. He's in fine current form judging by his course record second round 62 at the KLM Open last week, where he finished fifth, and he already has proven course form in the book. He was fourth here in 2010 and he looks a great each way bet to me at 50/1.

Paul Krishnamurty: Back Emiliano Grillo @ 81.080/1

The prodigious long-term talent of Emiliano Grillo has yet to bag a maiden title, but he's gone close three times already this season. After finishing runner-up at enormous odds in the high-class Dubai Desert Classic, the 22 year-old Argentinian blew a big final day lead in South Africa and challenged through to the 72nd hole against another classy field in Germany. The breakthrough will arrive sooner or later and, for now, it may pay to follow him on tracks like Celtic Manor which particularly reward long game excellence. Amongst this field, Grillo ranks seventh for greens in regulation throughout 2014 and sixth for total driving. He's also in fair form following consecutive top-25s and finished a respectable 18th here last year.

Mike Norman: Back Thomas Bjorn @ 34.033/1

World number 29 Thomas Bjorn has developed into one of the most inconsistent players on Tour this season. A brilliant eighth place finish at The Masters was immediately followed by a missed cut for example; three consecutive top-15 finishes in big European Tour events during early summer sandwiched two more missed cuts, and a MC at the USPGA was then followed by a fourth place finish in his homeland, only for the Dane to miss the cut again last week. Catching him right is clearly the key then, and I see no reason why Bjorn won't be fully tuned up in Wales this week ahead of the Ryder Cup next weekend. Bjorn has form at Celtic Manor too, finishing second here in 2012, and I believe that if he has peaked his game to take on the Americans at Gleneagles then we should see a very good showing from him in Wales also. Either that or he'll register another MC next to his name!

Season P/L (£5 e/w per selection)

1. Dan Geraghty: +£536.75
2. Joe Dyer: +£80.00
3. Steve Rawlings: +£71.25
4. Paul Krishnamurty: -£136.25
5. Mike Norman: -£258.75

Overall: +£293.00

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