Bubba Watson landed the place money for the each-way column at the WGC Cadillac and we're staying with the PGA Tour for our five selections at the Valspar Championship this week. Previously known as the Tampa Bay Championship and the Transitions before that, the name has changed but the course, Copperhead, remains the same - so will our form study pick out a winner? Read on to find out...
"Woodland hasn’t missed a cut in 2014 and his GIR stats bode well for this week’s test."
*Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 6 places
Joe Dyer: Back Cameron Tringale @ 51.050/1
We'll file last week's 200-1 Gonzo bet in the failed experiments folder (he was +15 after the first three rounds!) and get with a man who has plenty of Stateside experience, what with being an American and all! Both Gary Woodland and Kevin Streelman used this tournament to secure the first PGA Tour wins of their careers suggesting it's a good place to shed your maiden status and I'm backing a non-winner to do the business this week. Both Woodland and Streelman are pretty accurate off the tee and dialled-in with the irons and the same applies to Cameron Tringale. Third-place last year suggests he likes the course and his 2014 results looks pretty similar to 2013 with a run of high finishes coming to a stop at the Honda Classic. That tells me Tringale performs on certain courses, Copperhead being one of them. It's a good field this week but Tringo can hopefully take inspiration from Streelo and Woodo with a debut victory.
Dan Geraghty: Back Gary Woodland @ 34.033/1
A second round 78 ruined an otherwise excellent scorecard from Gary Woodland at last week's WGC Cadillac Championship, but Friday's weather conditions put paid to many a chance and the American bounced back well over the weekend. With his injury problems behind him I expect the powerful American to be a serious contender for a Ryder Cup berth and he can put himself firmly in the picture with a good performance here, at a tournament he won in 2011. Woodland hasn't missed a cut in 2014 and his GIR stats bode well for this week's test.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Luke Guthrie @ 81.080/1
Patrick Reed has emphatically demonstrated the value in following the best youngsters at big prices and Luke Guthrie could well be the next to break through. A multiple winner almost immediately on the Web.com Tour, Guthrie looked notably progressive towards the end of his rookie season and has started this year solidly with three top-25s. His latest effort at the Honda was promising, falling back after making an early Sunday charge to the fringes of contention. Past results show that putting is the key stat at Copperhead and Guthrie has few peers in that respect, ranking second over the past three months.
Steve Rawlings: Back Luke Donald @ 21.020/1
After a couple of lacklustre efforts, in 2002 and 2003, when the Valspar Championship was played in the autumn, Luke Donald took a break from the event before returning in 2010 to finish sixth. He didn't appear in 2011 but won it a year later and his fourth placed finish when defending was another fine effort 12 months ago. We've only had 13 renewals to date but we've already seen two players, KJ Choi and Retief Goosen, win it twice and after a couple of eye-catching events at the Honda Classic, where he ranked third for putting, and at last week's WGC-Cadillac Championship, where he ranked fourth for greens hit, Luke could become the third man to double-up.
Mike Norman: Back Russell Knox @ 51.050/1
I'm sticking with a man in form this week as Russell Knox looks to build on the excellent early season impression he's made on the PGA Tour. Following a top-10 finish at the Farmers Insurance Open recently Knox was then beaten in a four-man play-off at the high class Honda Classic last time out. Key to the Scot's good form is his accurate iron play - he ranks 14th on Tour for greens hit and first for Proximity to Hole - so on yet another course that will reward accuracy Knox has to be a serious player at 50/1. And as Joe has already mentioned, this is a tournament that has produced maiden winners in recent years so fingers crosed for another.
Season P/L (£5 e/w per selection)
1. Joe Dyer: +£160.00
2. Dan Geraghty: +£133.75
3. Paul Krishnamurty: -£12.50
4. Steve Rawlings: -£51.25
5. Mike Norman: -£70.00