Quicken Loans National Tips: Jason can throw us a Bohn in Virginia

Jason Bohn is in form, and is Dave's mid-range each-way bet this week
Jason Bohn is in form, and is Dave's mid-range each-way bet this week

Dave Tindall brings us his analysis and each-way tips for this week's PGA Tour event at Robert Trent Jones Golf Club in Gainsville, Virginia...

"After a T9 at Wells Fargo, he closed with a 63 to finish runner-up in the Crowne Plaza Invitational and at the Greenbrier Classic he posted a career-low 61 in round three before ending up T13 after struggling to follow it up 24 hours later."

Back Jason Bohn @ 51.050/1

Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 5 places

Favourites: Back Rickie Fowler @ 11.010/1

It's probably fair to say that, in a lot of punters' eyes, Rickie Fowler won the 'wrong' event in Scotland.

Many were on him to win the Open Championship at St Andrews but, instead, he took victory at the previous week's Scottish Open and just couldn't get in a serious blow at the Old Course.

He did flicker to life with a third-round 66 but, with the adrenalin gone in the final round, he slipped to T30.

After 36 holes at St Andrews, Fowler reflected: "First two days I got absolutely nothing out of it. Couldn't hit the ball any better tee to green. I would have put myself up against pretty much anyone here, and just couldn't get the ball in the hole. Kind of frustrating when you go out and hit the ball that well."

In other words, confidence is still high, he's swinging it great but just couldn't work out the greens at St Andrews.

He'd been sixth in Putting Average in the Scottish Open at Gullane so it looks a temporary problem and there's no reason why Fowler can't get his rock rolling again this week.

Outside of the majors, he's won two of his last four starts (Players Championship and Scottish Open) and the field in Virginia looks weak. It's a great chance to put another 'W' on the board.

Of the other market leaders, Justin Rose obviously has to be given plenty of respect given that he's won this event twice, especially as they came at different venues.

As a good omen for Fowler, he captured last year's event just prior to his Scottish Open so perhaps the American can do the same but in the reverse order.

Jimmy Walker looks to have cooled off and fourth favourite Justin Thomas looks plenty short at 28/1.

Mid-range: Back Jason Bohn @ 51.050/1

With a lack of course form, it makes total sense to go with in-form players this week and few are shooting the numbers that Bohn is putting up.

After a T9 at Wells Fargo, he closed with a 63 to finish runner-up in the Crowne Plaza Invitational and at the Greenbrier Classic he posted a career-low 61 in round three before ending up T13 after struggling to follow it up 24 hours later.

Last time out, at the John Deere, he posted 68-68-69 and then got it going again on Sunday with a closing 64 to finish T12.

On the main stats, he's 4th in Driving Accuracy, 26th in Greens In Regulation and 49th in Strokes Gained: Putting.

In other stats, he's 16th in Scoring Average, 17th in Birdie Average, 29th on the All-Around and 3rd in Putting Average.

One problem for punters is shaking off the idea of 'Jason Bohn - journeyman'. Can he really have jumped a level or two in the last few months?

Well, a look at his FedEx Cup finishes suggests it's been a slower, gradual improvement. His final FedEx positions read 143rd (2011), 125th (2012), 113th (2013), 70th (2014) while his current position is 36th.

He does have two wins on the PGA Tour and, if you like patterns, he's due again after victories in 2005 (B.C. Open) and 2010 (Zurich Classic of New Orleans).

A different (younger) player with his form figures wouldn't be 50/1 in this field so he does appear to offer some value.

Will Wilcox (40/1) has the stats to suggest a win is imminent even if he doesn't really take the eye while Johnson Wagner went to college in Virginia and boasts recent form of 5-10-15. He's also 50/1 and is the best alternative to Bohn at that price.

Long-shot: Back Greg Owen @ 126.0125/1

Some players were able to make light of a Monday finish at The Open.

Danny Willett (Omega European Masters) and Jason Day (Canadian Open) rode hot form at St Andrews to victories six days later while there were others who played well despite having their preparations affected.

For Greg Owen, the switch from Scottish to Canadian time appeared to throw him completely out of whack.

After an impressive T20 at St Andrews, he arrived at Glen Abbey and opened with a 75 and basically just got the second round out of the way, signing for a 77 before making his exit. But if we take out that blip, the Englishman has a bunch of good form behind him.

He was runner-up in June's St Jude Classic, T6 at Greenbrier and, as mentioned, T20 at The Open.

Speaking at St Andrews, he said: "It was fun. I mean, it's been a tough week, obviously, with a lot of different weather conditions. But I've played pretty well. Just proved to myself that I've still got the game to play out there. Age isn't really a factor for me, as long as I can stay warm and keep my back pretty smooth.

"But," he added, "I am ready to get home."

Read between the lines and he was probably ill-prepared to jump straight back on the horse again in Canada but after finishing up there on Friday night and finally getting a breather he should be ready to get going again.

Of those at three-figure prices, he looks the best option.

Rickie Barnes is another to consider in this part of the market after finishes of T3 and T11 in the last two events. He once said that his swing is all about timing so when he's playing well he can keep it going for a few weeks. When it's out of synch, he really does struggle.

One other player at three-figure odds to keep in mind is Retief Goosen.

In the 2005 Presidents Cup held at this week's venue, the South African won 4.5pts out of five and beat Tiger in the singles.

He'll have some happy memories when he goes back and, although not the player he was, Goosen has a few good knocks to his name in recent weeks - a T4 in the BMW International Open and a T20 at the Open Championship.

I'm not convinced he can get it done here but he does interest me in the R1 leader market. The two-time major winner opened with a 66 to sit T2 after the opening 18 at St Andrews, he was T10 after the first day at the BMW in Germany and started with a 66 to top the leaderboard after Thursday's action at Riviera earlier this year.


Follow Dave on Twitter @DaveTindallGolf

Dave's 2015 P/L (based on £5 e/w per selection)

Staked: £730
Returned: £333.75
P/L: -£396.25

(Includes last week’s Canadian Open)

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