The team bagged another place pay-out last week when Eddie Pepperell finished tied third for Mike, and the feeling is that a big-price winner is just around the corner. Here are this week's quintet of each-way selections...
- Dan Geraghty says: Back Sam Horsfield @ 250/1
- Paul Krishnamurty says: Back Ryan Fox @ 30/1
- Steve Rawlings says: Back Haotong Li @ 40/1
- Mike Norman says: Back Stephen Gallacher @ 60/1
- Joe Dyer says: Back Chris Paisley @ 60/1
*EW Terms: 1/5 Odds | 6 Places
Dan Geraghty: Back Sam Horsfield @ 250/1
Tom Lewis won here on his third pro start and there's some very interesting newcomers in the field this week looking to emulate him. I was tempted to go with star Scottish amateur Connor Syme this week, on his professional debut, but Sam Horsfield just gets the nod. Horsfield has been a little disappointing since he joined the pro ranks this summer, but that's perhaps being overly critical; we can't expect every star amateur to hit the ground running a la Spieth and Rahm. It's been a treat to see the America-based Englishman try his luck in Europe recently, but he's had some particularly tough weather conditions and bad draws to contend with these past few weeks. Twenty-seven degrees and calmer conditions in Portugal should be more to his liking - for me, he's very interesting - a potential world beater, and certainly one to keep onside.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Ryan Fox @ 30/1
Last week we saw a once highly touted, if almost forgotten due to poor form, player land a long overdue first title. This week in Portugal, I'm going for one of the very best European Tour maidens - one with stacks of impressive recent form. The ideal combination for success here is power off the tee, a hot putter and prolific birdie average. Ryan Fox ticks all three boxes. Over the past three months, the New Zealander has hit it consistently further than anyone in this field, and ranks third among them for birdie average. He was superb throughout July, finishing top-six in the French, Irish and Scottish Opens, and has since shown plenty for three rounds at the USPGA and finished top-ten at Crans. He will win soon and this is ideal.
Steve Rawlings: Back Haotong Li @ 40/1
The Portugal Masters is a very low scoring event where you need to make lots of birdies, score well throughout and scramble brilliantly to keep everything ticking along so the three main stats I've concentrated on this week are Birdie Average, Par 4 Scoring and Scrambling and China's Haotong Li ranks highly across all three. Since finishing third at the Open Championship, where he demonstrated his ability to go low with an incredible 64 in round four, he's missed two cuts in the States, at the US PGA Championship and the Wyndham, but he can put that form behind him at a venue that looks sure to suit. He's making his debut this week but that doesn't put me off at all as plenty of players have played well here on their first visit. The Sportsbook are an industry-wide best price of 40/1 and that looks more than fair to me.
Mike Norman: Back Stephen Gallacher @ 60/1
When well established in the world's top 50 Stephen Gallacher was always a force to be reckoned with in average European Tour fields, and perhaps key to his chances this week is the fact that he regularly repeated his good form at certain venues. Emirates GC - where his form figures read a remarkable 2-1-1-3 from 2012 to 2015 - being the obvious example, but he's also played well on more than one occasion at Wentworth and certain Links courses, so the fact that he has strong course form at Victoria bodes extremely well. The talented Scot has finished 6th, 3rd, 9th, and 12th in his last four visits here, the last two of those visits being when he was struggling with his game. Gallacher has shown more than enough recently when finishing top 20 at both the European Open and European Masters to suggests he's finding his best game again, so at a venue that he clearly likes, and after being well rested in recent weeks, he looks worth chancing at an industry-best 60/1 this week.
Joe Dyer: Back Chris Paisley @ 60/1
It seems you don't win the Portugal Masters without an ace short game so I am siding with a player who most certainly has that skill and who has done the column a favour already this year. Chris Paisley is the selection, the Geordie golfer landing us the place when backed at 125/1 in last month's Made in Denmark. Paisley scooped a fifth place finish last time he played the Victoria Clube de Golfe, to maintain improvement shown on his first two appearances when he twice chucked in one poor round to ruin his chances. It all clicked last year and I am hopeful that the return to a course he enjoys can bring about another profitable investment ahead of what will be his 'home' tournament, next week's British Masters at Close House.
2017 Season P/L to date: -£296.84
- KLM Open, Eddie Pepperell @ 40/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Czech Masters, Eddie Pepperell @ 50/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Made In Denmark, Chris Paisley @ 110/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- European Open, Zander Lombard @ 150/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- The Open, Brooks Koepka @ 25/1 - PLACE (Dan)
- The Open, Marc Leishman @ 55/1 - PLACE (Andy O'Rourke)
- Scottish Open, Anthony Wall @ 200/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- US Open, Brooks Koepka @ 40/1 - WIN (Dave Tindall)
- Lyoness Open, Dylan Frittelli @ 40/1 - WIN (Paul)
- Lyoness Open, Mikko Korhonen @ 50/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Nordea Masters, Chris Wood @ 33/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Nordea Masters, Thorbjorn Olesen @ 50/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Open de Portugal, Mark Foster @ 50/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Golf Sixes, Denmark @ 10/1 - WIN (Dan)
- Golf Sixes, Scotland @ 12/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Volvo China Open, Dylan Frittelli @ 35/1 PLACE (Paul)
- Masters, Paul Casey @ 50/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Hero Indian Open, Carlos Pigem @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Tshwane Open, Dean Burmester @ 16/1 - WIN (Paul)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Martin Kaymer @ 30/1 PLACE (Steve)
- Alfred Dunhill Championship, Thomas Detry @ 66/1 - PLACE (Dan)
- Alfred Dunhill Championship, Richard Sterne @ 22/1 - PLACE (Paul)
* Total P/L for 2016 Season: +£267.58
* Total P/L for 2015 Season: +£958.37
* Total P/L for 2014 Season: +£251.75
£5 E/W Per Bet