*Each-way terms: 1/4 odds, 5 places
Dan Geraghty: Back John Hahn @ 150/1
When John Hahn lost his European Tour card last season he got his head down, worked hard and reapplied himself at Qualifying School. When said visit to Q-School resulted in an incredible 58 but not a full European Tour card, he remained philosophical and knew that a season mixing European Tour events with Challenge Tour events was not the end of the world and could do him good in the long run. Having played 11 2015 Challenge Tour events, Hahn sits 30th in the Race to Oman, all but securing one of 45 tickets to the Tour's finale. After teeing it up 12 times on the main tour, the American also sits 162nd in the Race to Dubai. A top two finish in this week's European Tour event would likely secure full playing rights for next year; and given he's in good form (11th at last week's Irish Challenge) and was in the top 20 on his Portugal Masters debut last year, there's every reason to like his chances in Vilamoura.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Tyrrell Hatton @ 33/1
There's a stack of young, first-time winners-in-waiting on the European Tour and Matthew Fitzpatrick's breakthrough may serve as an inspiration to fellow Englishmen Tyrrell Hatton and Joe's pick Eddie Pepperell. Hatton has looked a serious prospect during his first two seasons and his 68/69/67 for 13th at Woburn was another positive signal. He has excellent recent form from the last couple of months, finishing third at low-scoring Crans and 25th on his USPGA debut. Previously he'd proved he can handle bad weather - of which there will be plenty this week - when a close fourth in the Irish Open.
Joe Dyer: Back Joakim Lagergren @ 80/1
Joakim Lagergren is a man in form and looks a decent statistical fit for this week's event. Two top fives in the last three events show the Swede has hit a rich seam of form and he looks to have a solid chance of making his mark at this week's birdie fest thanks to his deadly putting. Just 24-year-old, Lagergren's low profile means he is an 80/1 shot this week but, as Steve Rawlings points out, this is an event which tends to throw up big priced winners. After a rising English talent won so impressively last week, why not this young Swedish swinger this week?
Please note - Joe's original pick, Eddie Pepperell, had withdrawn from the event with a bad back.
Steve Rawlings: Back Thomas Pieters @ 33/1
It was only a matter of time before promising rookie, Matthew Fitzpatrick, made his breakthrough on the European Tour but he isn't the only young player with a bright future. I see Paul and Joe are going with two Englishmen looking to win for a first time and both look likely to follow Fitzpatrick into the winner's enclosure very soon but the one I like has already won twice. Big-hitting Belgian, Thomas Pieters, has only played in 40 European Tour events but having won the Czech Masters and the KLM Open back-to-back last month, he's already won more times than the vast majority lining up here. He finished down the field at far-too-tight Woburn last week but he closed the event with a three-under par 68, despite finding just seven fairways. This course will be infinitely easier for the often wayward Pieters and he looks a very fair price to me at 33/1.
Mike Norman: Back Rafa Cabrera-Bello @ 50/1
During the summer months of June and July there were very few players on the European Tour in more consistent form than Rafa Cabrera-Bello, the Spaniard recorded a form line of 4-13-2-11-5 in five consecutive tournaments. His form understandably dropped off thereafter but his seventh place finish at the KLM Open last month caught the eye for a few reasons, not least because the venue used in Holland has some strong correlated course form links with some of the early season desert courses used on the European Tour. And those courses in both Qatar and Dubai also have strong course form links with this week's venue Oceånico Victoria GC which is all good news for Cabrera-Bello. RCB is a former winner of the Dubai Desert Classic, finished third in Qatar just last year, and is a previous runner-up of this event around this week's venue. Everything is in place for a return to form.