A clutch or PGA Tour stars head the market for this week's European Open in Hamburg but do any of them feature in our regular quintet of each-way selections?
"There are five par fives to go at this week so Waring's 22nd place in Par 5 scoring is worthy of note, as is his year-long ranking of second for Greens In Regulation."
EW Terms: 1/5 Odds | 8 Places
Dave Tindall: Back Paul Waring @ 80/1
After securing his first win on the European Tour last year, Paul Waring has kicked on again in 2019. If Waring was to maintain his current Race to Dubai position of 38th, it would beat his previous best of 60th set two seasons ago so it looks like we have another golfer who is flourishing in their early-to-mid 30s. The Liverpool FC fan has had five top seven finishes in just 14 starts this season and added another top 20 on his latest outing at the Scandinavian Invitation a fortnight ago after closing 66-65. There are five par fives to go at this week so Waring's 22nd place in Par 5 scoring is worthy of note, as is his year-long ranking of second for Greens In Regulation. It's his first start at the course but it looks a good fit and, despite the big-name Americans on show, the 80/1 appears to be underestimating him.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Lucas Herbert @ 50/1
I've been waiting for an encouraging signal to back Lucas Herbert - a top-level prospect who made big progress in 2018 without winning, but who has been enduring a difficult second season. Closing rounds of 67/67/64 for a top-ten finish at Crans are precisely that signal. The two results at Green Eagle offer contrasting clues regarding stats. Big-hitters thrived in 2017 but shorter types dominated in 2018. According to the Euro Tour website, the fairways are wide, the greens large and undulating and conditions firm. That sounds like a second shot course, with big-hitters enjoying an advantage. Herbert is very long and, as an Aussie, experienced on firm golf courses.
Steve Rawlings: Back Max Schmitt @ 200/1
This is a devilishly hard event to assess so I'm taking a chance on a huge outsider in the shape of promising 21-year-old European Tour rookie, Max Schmitt. German amateur, Allen John, nearly caused an almighty shock 12 months ago when finishing second and it's perfectly plausible that Schmitt could emulate him. As a two-time winner in his homeland on the Pro Golf Tour in 2017, Schmitt has shown his liking for home comforts and he arrives fresh off a decent effort in Switzerland, where he closed with a five-under-par 65 on Sunday. He finished seventh in his very first European Tour event in Mauritius and was fourth at the Made in Denmark back in May so he's already finished inside the places a couple of times in his first season on the European Tour and he looks interesting at a whopping price.
Dan Thomas: Back Adri Arnaus @ 30/1
It's been a stellar debut season on the European Tour for Challenge Tour Grand Final winner Adri Arnaus, with three runner-up finishes already, including running Thomas Pieters close at the Czech Masters in August. The big hitting Spaniard, who finished tied sixth at the European Masters last week, has the perfect game for the massive Green Eagle course, ranking second for strokes gained off the tee and fifth for greens in regulation on the European Tour. The 24-year-old has already shown he has the temperament to keep the pressure on the leaders into the weekend in tournaments, and 30/1 looks a nice price for him to contend once again.
Mike Norman: Back Alex Levy @ 33/1
Although a quartet of PGA Tour regulars head the Betfair Sportsbook market - all of which must be respected - this week's field is far from a strong one, and with eight places on offer for each-way bettors it's not too difficult to envisage a bunch of European Tour regulars making the frame. Alex Levy is my pick this week simply based on course and current form. The Frenchman finished runner-up at this venue in 2017 and returned last year to challenge again, eventually finishing T13, so it certainly looks like this course suits his game. And that bodes well given Levy finished in the top 20 at the Czeck Masters three outings ago before recording a top five finish at the Scandinavian Invitational recently. A missed cut in Switzerland last week isn't too concerning for this in-and-out performer and I expect him to bounce back with a good showing this week.
2019 Season P/L to date: -£317.55
- Omega European Masters, Matthias Schwab @ 80/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Scandinavian Invitational, Alex Levy @ 70/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Scottish Open, Andrea Pavan @ 110/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- BMW International Open, Jordan Smith @ 28/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- US Open, Gary Woodland @ 70/1 - WIN (Dave)
- Made In Denmark, Pablo Larrazabal @ 80/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- USPGA Championship, Brooks Koepka @ 11/1 - WIN (Steve)
- Volvo China Open, David Lipsky @ 33/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- WGC Dell Match Play, Matt Kuchar @ 40/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- WGC Mexico Championship, Cameron Smith @ 60-1 - PLACE (Paul)
- WGC Mexico Championship, Paul Casey @ 35/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- World Super 6, Scott Vincent @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- World Super 6, Paul Dunne @ 50/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Joost Luiten @ 80/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Mauritius Open, Justin Harding @ 30/1 - PLACE (Dave)
*2018 P/L: +£727.16
*2017 P/L: -£306.84
*2016 P/L: +£267.58
*2015 P/L: +£958.37
*2014 P/L: +£251.75