Porsche European Open 2017: Five each-way plays for this week's German test

Is Jimmy Walker a value play at 28/1?
Is Jimmy Walker a value play at 28/1?

The Open is over for another year but a handful of the world's best have stayed on the continent to play the Porsche European Open. Have any of the big names made the BB golf team's quintet? Here are our five to follow in Hamburg...

"This week's test - a long course with a quintet of par-fives, softened by rain and therefore yielding plenty of birdies - is right up his street."

Paul Krishnamurty: Back Jorge Campillo @ 66/1

Dan Geraghty: Back Julian Suri @ 50/1

Big-hitting Julian Suri has been something of a revelation this season - he's come from relative obscurity to be one of the biggest draws on the European Challenge Tour, where he won, finished second, and third - all in a four week spell. His 2017 performances mean it's a certainty he'll be following in Aaron Rai's footsteps and playing on the European Tour next season. Suri has made the cut and performed well on all four occasions he's tee'd it up on the European Tour in the past; there's no reason to think he won't go well again this week on an enormous course that should play to his strengths.


Paul Krishnamurty: Back Jorge Campillo @ 66/1

Three-times a European Tour runner-up, Jorge Campillo has been on my list all year as a very plausible first-time winner. He's become a consistent performer with stacks of top-20 finishes in recent years and, at 31, is around the age where so many players peak. This week's test - a long course with a quintet of par-fives, softened by rain and therefore yielding plenty of birdies - is right up his street. Campillo is fairly long off the tee and ranks fourth amongst these for both putting average and par-five performance over the last 12 months. In terms of recent form, he fared pretty well in 26th at the Scottish Open last time and finished top-20 in Germany last month.


Steve Rawlings: Back Zander Lombard @ 150/1

With no course form to ponder and a field containing one or two largely out of form star names, this looks like an event that may well produce a shock winner. I like the defending champion, Alexander Levy, and had he been 28/1 instead of 25/1 I probably would have sided with him but at a much bigger price, I'm going to take a chance on South African young gun, Zander Lombard. The 22-year-old Pretorian hasn't been at his best since he was an unlucky loser at the Rocco Forte Open at the end of May but he has plenty of scope and the length to cope with this vast track. He missed the cut at the Open de France when last sighted but the month off may have done him good and he has a top-five finish strike rate of 10.6% since turning pro.


Joe Dyer: Back Tom Lewis @ 100/1

There's a danger we're all getting obsessed with length this week but I can't ignore the course's immense yardage and so it is that I am plumping for Tom Lewis with this week's tenner. The Englishman can give the ball a fair old belt, ranking just outside the top 10 on the European Tour's driving distance rankings, so won't be intimidated off the tee. A European Tour winner at just 20, Lewis' career has endured its ups and downs since but he is piecing it back together this year with eight cuts made from 11 events and a best finish of 10th in the Australian PGA Championship. That's not overly impressive of course, but apart from a few stars at the top fo the betting, neither is the field. At 100/1 Lewis could yield big rewards on a big course.


Mike Norman: Back Jimmy Walker @ 28/1

There might be a suspicion that the big names are only in Germany for the cheque but that is to do these guys a disservice and a taste of competition should quickly get the juices flowing. Jimmy Walker's career achievements - one major and five more PGA Tour wins - are comfortably better than 99% of the field assembled in Germany this week, and odds of 28/1 look pretty generous compared to the market leaders. Walker was two shots better than this week's 11/1 market leader Charl Schwartzel at last week's Open, where second favourite Patrick Reed missed the cut, and the price looks an overreaction to a not overly impressive run of results since the turn of the year. There may be no top 10 since January, but a close look shows Walker to be operating at a decent level with four top 20s in the 15 events since and only four cuts missed. Walker has enough length off the tee to compete this week and won't shy away from the win if it presents itself. That 28/1 could look very big by Sunday afternoon.

2017 Season P/L to date: -£137.67

- The Open, Brooks Koepka @ 25/1 - PLACE (Dan Geraghty)
- The Open, Marc Leishman @ 55/1 - PLACE (Andy O'Rourke)
- Scottish Open, Anthony Wall @ 200/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- US Open, Brooks Koepka @ 40/1 - WIN (Dave Tindall)
- Lyoness Open, Dylan Frittelli @ 40/1 - WIN (Paul)
- Lyoness Open, Mikko Korhonen @ 50/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Nordea Masters, Chris Wood @ 33/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Nordea Masters, Thorbjorn Olesen @ 50/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Open de Portugal, Mark Foster @ 50/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Golf Sixes, Denmark @ 10/1 - WIN (Dan)
- Golf Sixes, Scotland @ 12/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Volvo China Open, Dylan Frittelli @ 35/1 PLACE (Paul)
- Masters, Paul Casey @ 50/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Hero Indian Open, Carlos Pigem @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Tshwane Open, Dean Burmester @ 16/1 - WIN (Paul)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Martin Kaymer @ 30/1 PLACE (Steve)
- Alfred Dunhill Championship, Thomas Detry @ 66/1 - PLACE (Dan)
- Alfred Dunhill Championship, Richard Sterne @ 22/1 - PLACE (Paul)

* Total P/L for 2016 Season: +£267.58
* Total P/L for 2015 Season: +£958.37
* Total P/L for 2014 Season: +£251.75

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