*Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 5 places
Dan Geraghty: Back Victor Dubuisson @ 51.050/1
After a stellar 2014 it's not been Victor Dubuisson's year so far, but last week's 20th place suggested improved form and I'm happy to back him in his home open at an inflated price. At his best the 25-year-old is a mercurial talent who can crush his drives and attack the flags with pinpoint accuracy. That sort of play during an extraordinary 2014 saw Dubuisson finish runner-up at no less than four tournaments while this season has brought just one top-five, and that came in the season opener. But with 50/1 being dangled about this tremendous talent I'm happy to take a chance that last week's 20th will herald a revival.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Matthew Fitzpatrick @ 81.080/1
As a general trend, older, experienced players tend to win the Open de France, but the very best youngsters also tend to get the hang of things pretty quickly. See for example how Martin Kaymer finished top-seven on four of his first five attempts. Matthew Fitzpatrick appears to be in the same class, particularly in the long game department - he ranks fourth among this field for total accuracy in 2015, hitting over 70% of both fairways and greens over the past three months. That is usually the key to success at Le Golf National and, following third place in Austria and eighth in Ireland, 80/1 is an eyecatching price.
Joe Dyer: Back Danny Willett @ 29.028/1
I put up Danny Willett as a US Open bet only to see my man miss the cut by a handful of shots thanks to a miserable second round. That was a disappointment, but he wasn't the only star to get shot down in the wild west and I'm happy to play him at far shorter odds on a track where he has previous form. By and large, the Sheffield slinger has performed week-in, week-out this year with several high finishes - a win, two top fives, a top 10 and two further top 20s - in the book. His accurate iron play should set up opportunities for his deadly putter to get him under par and his fine scrambling should help him out of any sticky positions. I am happy to take the 29.028/1 even in this competitive field.
Steven Rawlings: Back Richard Green @ 101.0100/1
Australia's Richard Green, who's currently trying to qualify for the Open Championship at Woburn, will relish the fiery, fast, and baking hot test at Le Golf National on the outskirts of Paris this week and with five top-seven finishes in his last ten starts here, he has plenty of previous course form to draw upon. As highlighted in my main tournament preview, great scrambling is going to be key this week so the fact that he ranks second on the European Tour for that stat over the last three months is a big plus. That he's missed his last two cuts is far from ideal but his top-ten finish in Ireland before that shows that a demanding test is right up his street.
Mike Norman: Back Bernd Wiesberger @ 34.033/1
Previous course form will be high on the list of criteria when assessing the Open de France this week and for that reason I'm going to take a stab on talented Austrian Bernd Wiesberger. His last four finishes at Le Golf National read 62nd, 47th, 13th, and 18th, so you'd be forgiven for thinking, well where's the course form? But that 13th two years ago and 18th last year don't tell the full story. Wiesberger was bang there with a round to go on both occasions before Sunday rounds of 75 (2013) and 77 (last year) sent him down the leaderboard. He actually started last year's final round ahead of eventual winner Graeme McDowell. A few weeks ago Wiesberger was as short as 4/1 to win a European Tour event, now he's 33/1 and yet absolutely none of the players ahead of him in the market this week scare me. A top-30 finish last week was satisfactory and I envisage the 30-year-old having a good four days at a venue that clearly suits his game.