*Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 5 places
Nap - Back William McGirt @ 41.040/1
The last time William McGirt had a top 10 on the PGA Tour (8th at the Wyndham Championship) he followed it with another (5th in The Barclays) the very next week.
It suggests last week's seventh spot in the Sanderson Farms Championship may not just be a brief flash of form, rather an ideal warm-up for a crack at this event.
McGirt's previous top 10 before that back-to-back duo in August was a ninth in The Heritage and his quotes there gave an insight into what sort of courses he plays well on. "You don't have to bomb it. It's more about accuracy and placement," he said of Harbour Town. "There's not a better course on Tour for me. Maybe Colonial, maybe Waialae."
If he'd extended that list to a top five, McGirt could easily have said this week's venue - the short 6,987-yard par 71 El Camaleon. He's played in this event three times and finished 19th, 26th and 45th and posted rounds of 65 and 66 in the last two years.
Having tested himself down the stretch a couple of times now, he may be able to take the final step here and post a first PGA Tour victory.
Next best - Back Mark Wilson @ 41.040/1
Mark Wilson is always a go-to golfer in tournaments like these that are played on short coastal tracks with Bermuda or Paspalum grass (the putting surface on show this week).
The American won this very event in 2009 when dealing best with the switching winds to finish two shots clear of JJ Henry and, again with conditions right up his street, he landed the Sony Open in Hawaii in 2011.
He's slightly blown his cover by finishing in the top 10 in his last two starts - 8th at McGladrey and 9th in last week's Sanderson Farms Championship - but the adverse effect on his price hasn't been as great as I feared and we do know he's right in form.
Speaking at the McGladrey a couple of weeks ago he said about his game: "Hit the ball nicely, rolled in some putts, made some saves when I needed to, and I feel great about it."
Wilson's greens in regulation stats have been excellent in the last two weeks so everything suggests he can plod his way towards another big finish and hopefully capture a sixth PGA Tour title.
Outsider - Back Pat Perez @ 126.0125/1
Pat Perez has paid just two previous visits to El Camaleon but finishes of 13th in 2007 and 16th last year suggest he should pencil this event into his schedule more often.
On first glance he doesn't appear to fit the mould of the short-hitting steady eddies, who are usually on the radar here but four top 10s at Waialae (2007, 2008, 2013 and 2014) shows he's a man who can shine on short coastal tracks.
Despite some hard work getting ready for the new season after a pretty miserable summer, Perez didn't see any immediate results and missed the cut on his first two starts (Frys.com and Shriners).
However, he did find some improvement on the weekend at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia last time out when two closing 69s took him up to tied 33rd.
In the hope that something has clicked, Perez could make a big mark at 125/1 on a course he clearly likes.