The team enjoyed a great final major of the season last week as Dave's 20/1 pick Brooks Koepka landed the odds while Steve's 125/1 selection Gary Woodland bagged a place. Can our quintet of tipster land some more profit in Sweden this week...
"Pavon is a top-class prospect, ranks an impressive 22nd for greens in regulation among these over the past year, and has twice indicated a liking for strong winds."
*EW Terms: 1/5 Odds | 6 Places
Dave Tindall: Back Benjamin Hebert @ 50/1
Benjamin Hebert has played well in the Nordea Masters, finishing T28 at Bro Hof Slott in 2010, taking T24 at PGA Sweden National in 2015 and improving to tied eighth at Barseback last year. That suggests he won't be inconvenienced by the tournament moving again this year. That adaptability was shown when he finished runner-up in the inaugural Belgian Knockout at the end of May and he's made four of five cuts since, with T23 in the Italian Open and T28 at the Irish Open. A six-time champion on the Challenge Tour, we're still waiting for him to bring that winning habit to the highest level but he's established himself nicely at this level and victory could be around the corner. His Stroke Average and Putts Per GIR numbers are up on the last two seasons and, in a weak field, the joint-industry high 50/1 makes appeal.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Matthieu Pavon @ 40/1
Wind and rain significantly impacted the last Challenge Tour event to be held at this course and the forecast ahead of its European Tour debut is mixed. I think we're looking for a good ball striker, who can hit a high percentage of the smallish greens and cope with the wind if and when it materialises. Pavon is a top-class prospect, ranks an impressive 22nd for greens in regulation among these over the past year, and has twice indicated a liking for strong winds. The Frenchman first caught the eye when charging through the 2017 Scottish Open field, amid extreme gusts at Dundonald, to finish third. Then on day one of his US Open debut, while the great and good were getting blown away at Shinnecock Hills, Pavon shot an excellent 71 to sit in sixth place. He let me down badly for this column when collapsing under the weight of a halfway lead in Oman but this youngster is worth persevering with.
Steve Rawlings: Back Austin Connelly @ 125/1
We're faced with a weak field on a brand-new course, one week after a major Championship. It doesn't get much harder than that so it's a time to take a chance on a few outsiders and the one I like is Austin Connelly. The young Canadian enjoyed a great season last year, finishing 14th in the Open Championship and second at the KLM Open. He hasn't quite fired this year, although there have been a couple of fair efforts, but a trip home and a bit of a break may just have refreshed him nicely and he looks a decent price at an industry-best of 125/1.
Jasmine Baba: Back Marcus Kinhult @ 33/1
I think 33/1 for Swede youngster Marcus Kinhult is more than fair. In 2015, at the ripe old age of 19, he became the first amateur to lead at the halfway stage of European Tour event in six years, that was at the Nordea Masters where he finished with a T33. More recently he qualified for his first major, The Open, made the cut and finished T61. This is his first year on the European Tour Card and has already finished third at the Qatar Masters, T5 at the Open de France. His Driving Accuracy and Distance have both improved in the last two years, and has the potential to go far here. Not to mention, Swedes do well on their home turf and so I won't be surprised if goes all the way.
Mike Norman: Back Niclas Fasth @ 500/1
In a weak field, and thanks largely to the information provided by Steve in his unmissable tournament preview, I have no hesitation in putting up a rank outsider in Niclas Fasth at 500/1. As Steve mentions, probably no golfer in this weak's field knows the Hills GC layout better than the 46-year-old Swede who regularly plays there, and hopefully has had plenty of recent practice on the course in preparation for his home event. Fasth is rightly perceived as a back number now having not recorded a top-10 finish in Europe since the Irish Open in 2015 but it would be folly to ignore the six-time European Tour winner this week at these huge odds. He missed the cut in his last outing in Spain, but shot a second round 68 there suggesting he retains plenty of ability, and he also recorded a top-25 finish in the Alfred Dunhill Links at the end of last season. Maybe this popular Swede isn't such a back number just yet.
2018 Season P/L to date: + £456.83
- US PGA Championship, Brooks Koepka @ 20/1 - WIN (Dave)
- US PGA Championship, Gary Woodland @ 125/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- WGC-Bridgestone, Brooks Koepka @ 25/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- The Open, Tiger Woods @ 30/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- Scottish Open, Ryan Fox @ 45/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Irish Open, Russell Knox @ 28/1 - WIN (Dave)
- BMW International Open, Matt Wallace @ 33/1 - WIN (Steve)
- BMW International Open, Martin Kaymer @ 33/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Italian Open, Lee Westwood @ 45/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- BMW PGA Championship, Kiradech Aphibarnrat @ 45/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- Belgian Knockout, Benjamin Hebert @ 50/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Belgian Knockout, Jorge Campillo @ 28/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Rocco Forte Open, Lucas Herbert @ 125/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Golf Sixes, South Korea @ 16/1 - PLACE (Steve & Paul)
- Volvo China Open, Lucas Bjerregaard @ 200/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- US Masters, Bubba Watson @ 16/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Hero Indian Open, Andrew Johnston @ 33/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- Oman Open, Jorge Campillo @ 40/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Maybank Championship, Shubhankar Sharma @ 60/1 - WIN (Joe)
- Dubai Desert Classic, Alex Levy @ 50/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Matthew Fitzpatrick @ 40/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- UBS Hong Kong Open, Paul Peterson @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)