It's another tough puzzle this week with an old tournament played at a brand new course. There are eight places paid, however, and the team's tenners will be on the following five...
"Jamie Donaldson is an ace ball-striker and, after a really grim run, appears to be on his way back. His last four starts yielded ninth in elite company at the Scottish Open, fifth in Sweden and 35th place at Crans that would have been much better without a single poor round of 74. He's worth following right now."
EW Terms: 1/5 Odds | 8 Places
Dave Tindall: Back Mikko Korhonen @ 50/1
It often takes a player a few outings to get back onto an even keel after a victory so it was no surprise to see Mikko Korhonen miss his next two cuts after he claimed the China Open title in May with a 20-under-par total. He's made the weekend in each of his last five starts though and there have been definite signs of improvement of late. He's nearly always pretty straight off the tee and his Greens In Regulation figures are usually very good too so he should set up plenty of chances to score at a course that looks likely to be comfortably overpowered and he's ranked fifth for Putting Average in each of his last two starts.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Jamie Donaldson @ 80/1
There's a great deal of guesswork regarding the course but it appears to be in keeping with the tradition of this tournament - linsky, relatively short and basically a layout where control is more important than power, favouring the best iron players. One player who, at his peak at least, would enjoy it is Jamie Donaldson. The former Ryder Cup hero is an ace ball-striker and, after a really grim run, appears to be on his way back. His last four starts yielded ninth in elite company at the Scottish Open, fifth in Sweden and 35th place at Crans that would have been much better without a single poor round of 74. He's worth following right now.
Steve Rawlings: Back Brandon Stone @ 200/1
It's never easy when we're faced with a new venue so I'm happy to take a bit of a chance on a huge outsider this week. At less than 7,000 yards, with five par fives, and with very little wind forecasted, I suspect we're going to see plenty of low scores at The International near Amsterdam. Info on the venue has been sparse but I keep reading it has a links or inland links feel so mercurial South African, Brandon Stone, came to mind. He's a frustrating character to follow and he often appears disinterested but he's won three European Tour titles (all at low scoring venues) and his last win came at the Scottish Open last year, where he shot 60 in round four to win by four in 20-under-par. He won the Alfred Dunhill Championship by six with a 21-under-par total in 2016 so when he's hot he's red-hot and he can certainly go low.
Joe Dyer: Back Matthew Southgate @ 80/1
As is clear, no-one quite knows exactly what the course will demand this week but that teeny yardage suggests it will be tight and fiddly and we will need someone who is going to keep the ball in-play off the tee at the very least. Matthew Southgate, the European Tour's eighth most accurate driver of the ball, certainly ticks that box, and his approach play is similarly excellent. Conditions are unlikely to trouble this Englishman who tends to do his best in northern Europe where he has three top 10s this year from tournaments in Belgium, Denmark and Sweden.
Mike Norman: Back Ashley Chesters @ 80/1
If this tournament does prove to reward short-hitting but accurate types with proven links form then Ashley Chesters could be worth a wager at 80/1. The Englishman is all about control off the tee and fairway and is one of the Tour's better wind players. Ninth last week in Germany, he has been showing some flashes of good form of late and could go close in a field lacking depth.
2019 Season P/L to date: -£367.55
- Omega European Masters, Matthias Schwab @ 80/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Scandinavian Invitational, Alex Levy @ 70/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Scottish Open, Andrea Pavan @ 110/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- BMW International Open, Jordan Smith @ 28/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- US Open, Gary Woodland @ 70/1 - WIN (Dave)
- Made In Denmark, Pablo Larrazabal @ 80/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- USPGA Championship, Brooks Koepka @ 11/1 - WIN (Steve)
- Volvo China Open, David Lipsky @ 33/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- WGC Dell Match Play, Matt Kuchar @ 40/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- WGC Mexico Championship, Cameron Smith @ 60-1 - PLACE (Paul)
- WGC Mexico Championship, Paul Casey @ 35/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- World Super 6, Scott Vincent @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- World Super 6, Paul Dunne @ 50/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Joost Luiten @ 80/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Mauritius Open, Justin Harding @ 30/1 - PLACE (Dave)
*2018 P/L: +£727.16
*2017 P/L: -£306.84
*2016 P/L: +£267.58
*2015 P/L: +£958.37
*2014 P/L: +£251.75