The final event of the 2016 European Tour season will see one of four golfers crowned this year's Race to Dubai champion, but do any of those protagonists feature in this week's each-way column? Find out who the guys have gone for here...
Joe Dyer: Back Byeong Hun An @ 40/1
"The South Korean is a seriously good desert golfer finishing top five in Abu Dhabi and Dubai back in January and February to add to fourth in this event last year and fifth in Qatar in 2015 as well as top 20s in the other two Desert Swing events at the turn of the year."
*Each-Way 1/4 odds, 5 places
The Earth Course doesn't look a perfect fit for Matt Fitzpatrick at first glance, but the youngster was fourth on his debut here last year and I think he deserves a little more respect in the market. The Englishman approaches this year's event in good form, having made the top 20 in his last two appearances and his career has continued on an upward curve since last year's event; with a second win and a Ryder Cup appearance under his belt he has every chance of improving on last year's place.
Now that arguably his most productive time of the year is upon us, it was no surprise to see Branden Grace creep back into form with third place at the Nedbank - easily his best result since being placed at the USPGA Championship in August. Consecutive places in both that major plus the US Open demonstrate that the South African knows how to bring his A-game to the big occasions and this week's Race to Dubai finale is another case in point. In the last four renewals, he's managed sixth, ninth and last year's personal best third. Expect another strong challenge for at least the places.
It's impossible to ignore those two at the top of the market but (almost) equally impossible to put either up as a bet in this column due to their justifiably short prices, and so we must overlook Rory and Henrik in search of better value. That's fine by me, as I'm delighted that Betfair have gone joint industry top price on Byeong Hun An this week. The South Korean is a seriously good desert golfer finishing top five in Abu Dhabi and Dubai back in January and February to add to fourth in this event last year and fifth in Qatar in 2015 as well as top 20s in the other two Desert Swing events at the turn of the year. He has not won on the European Tour this year but he has finished in the top 10 six times so far, including in Turkey in his last Euro event, so has given himself good chances. My man is long off the tee, accurate with his approach shots and a demon on the greens, and I like that 40/1 very much!
At an industry-wide best price of 25/1, Andy Sullivan is a very straightforward selection here. The Nuneaton star pushed Rory McIlroy all the way to the line 12 months ago so he has course form in the book and he arrives in Dubai in fine form. He was a bit disappointing in Turkey two starts ago but before that he finished runner-up to Padraig Harrington when defending his Portugal Masters title and he finished a respectable tied third in South Africa on Sunday. He always drives the ball nice and straight and he again ranked first for Driving Accuracy last week but what was much more eye-catching was his Putting Average ranking of seventh. He'd have won in Portugal had he putted only fractionally better and last week's stats suggests he's found something with the flatstick.
Tyrrell Hatton enjoyed a tremendous summer, finishing top five in both the Scottish Open and the Open Championship before finishing top 10 in another major, the US PGA Championship. He then deservedly gained his first win on the European Tour when winning the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and he has finished in the top 25 - including two top 10s - in his four starts since. What's more though, Hatton, a much better player than he was in recent visits to this tournament and now with added confidence and swagger, has finished sixth and 13th on just his two visits to the Earth Course, so it appears the venue definitely suits. He's currently fifth on the R2D money list, is in the form of his life, yet at least 10 players are priced at shorter odds this week, so for that reason Hatton has to offer value at 40/1.
2016 Season P/L to date: - £59.92
- WGC HSBC Champions, Henrik Stenson @ 22/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- British Masters, Graeme McDowell @ 33/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- European Open, Bernd Wiesberger @ 14/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- European Masters, Andrew Johnston @ 40/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Made In Denmark, David Lipsky @ 55/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- The Open, Sergio Garcia @ 25/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Scottish Open, Nicolas Colsaerts @ 40/1 - PLACE (Luke)
- Open de France, Thongchai Jaidee @ 60/1 - WIN (Joe)
- BMW International Open, Kiradech Aphibarnrat @ 80/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- US Open, Branden Grace @ 50/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Nordea Masters, Nicolas Colsaerts @ 33/1 - PLACE (Dan T)
- BMW PGA Championship, Thomas Aiken @ 100/1 - PLACE (Dan G)
- Mauritius Open, Jeunghun Wang @ 16/1 - WIN (Dan G)
- Mauritius Open, Nicolas Colsaerts @ 28/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Shenzhen International, Scott Hend @ 50/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- True Thailand Classic, Scott Hend @ 40/1 - WIN (Dan T)
- True Thailand Classic, Thomas Pieters @ 22/1 - PLACE (Dan G)
- WGC Cadillac Championship, Danny Willett @ 66/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Perth International, Peter Uihlein @ 33/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Tshwane Open, Dean Burmester @ 28/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Dubai Desert Classic, Andy Sullivan @ 33/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Thomas Pieters @ 50/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Joost Luiten @ 66/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- South African Open, Christiaan Bezuidenhout @ 250/1 - PLACE (Dan G)
- Alfred Dunhill Championship, Joost Luiten @ 40/1 - PLACE (Joe)
* Total P/L for 2015 Season: +£958.37
* Total P/L for 2014 Season: +£251.75