It's the second leg of the FedEx Cup and we're expecting a birdie-fest at TPC Boston, so who do our team expect to go low this week?
"Jordan Speith was fourth on his debut here last year with a 17 under par total; he sits seventh on Tour in birdie average and jumps off the page as a potential winner this week."
Dan Geraghty: Back Jordan Spieth @ 26.025/1
*Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 5 places
Dan Geraghty: Back Jordan Spieth @ 26.025/1
The list of past Deutsche Bank Championship winners is littered with stars of the game and in the main, major champions. Jordan Spieth is yet to claim a major title but is certainly one of the leading candidates to do so in the near future. The young American was fourth on his debut here last year with a 17 under par total; he sits seventh on Tour in birdie average and jumps off the page as a potential winner this week, on a course where going low is essential. Spieth's form has dipped in recent weeks but his 22nd place finish last week at the Barclays was his best result in his last four tournaments.
Joe Dyer: Back John Senden @ 101.0100/1
I've been focusing on the Tour's best putters in my search for a winner this week and have somehow alighted on 100-1 shot John Senden. Quiet for much of the summer when he played an extremely light schedule, the smooth-hitting Aussie nevertheless enjoyed a quietly impressive season throughout the winter and spring, winning the Valspar Championship in March alongside an eighth at The Masters and a fifth at the Crowne Plaza. That good play has the PGA Tour's seventh-ranked putter in 28th place on the FedEx Cup list. Senden enjoys TPC Boston with a best finish of eighth in 2010 alongside 11th in 2009 and 12th in 2012. A 22nd last week offers encouragement that this fine all-rounder is coming into good form.
Steven Rawlings: Back Scott Stallings @ 501.0500/1
With the Sportsbook offering an industry best price of 9/2, I was very tempted to put up favourite, Rory McIlroy. Last week's below-par effort at The Barclays was totally understandable after such an incredible run of form and I wouldn't be in the least bit surprised to see him return to form at a venue he won at two years ago, but instead I'm going to go to the other end of the market and scroll right down to the bottom of the list. We've had two big outsiders win this event in the last nine years and I'm going to take an absolute flyer on a third. Scott Stallings has been not much better than awful for much of the year but he had form figures reading MC-47-MC-MC-58 before he won the Farmers Insurance Open in January and he's the only man in the field with a local connection. Stallings was born in Massachusetts. The chances of him figuring are slim but 500/1 is a heck of a price for someone under 30 years old that's won three PGA Tour events in four years.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Angel Cabrera @ 111.0110/1
History suggests the Deutsche Bank Championship will be won by a class act, with only nine of the 11 previous winners being either past or future major champions, or from the leading group of candidates. That doesn't really help our each-way cause, however, as the classiest players are predictably, prohibitive prices. Angel Cabrera is one of only a few at big odds whose profile fits the bill. This two-time major winner has plenty of decent course form, only once missing the top-25 and finishing fourth in 2009. The Argentinian has the power to tame the par-fives that are critical to success at TPC Boston, Norton, and has recently found his best form for ages, winning the Greenbrier Classic among a series of eyecatching performances, most notably when fighting back from a poor start at the Open to make the top-20.
Mike Norman: Back Patrick Reed @ 41.040/1
Some of the leading contenders have outstanding claims this week, whether it be due to current form, course form, a mixture of both, or simply just their class. So we might all end up with egg on our faces if five of the first seven or eight in the betting fill the places come Sunday evening, but I'm hoping that 40/1 shot Patrick Reed - just outside the first dozen in the betting - can sneak into a place at least. This season's WGC Cadillac champion looked in good form last week, recording a top-10 finish thanks to some excellent stats in a few disciplines that may serve him well at TPC Boston, namely Greens in Regulation, Proximity to Hole, and Scrambling (last year's winner Henrik Stenson led the GIR stats and was sixth for Scrambling). It's also encouraging that Reed's other victory this year - at the Humana Challenge - was also at a venue where going low is absolutley essential. He finished 28 under par that week. Yes, I'll take that right now!
Season P/L (£5 e/w per selection)
1. Dan Geraghty: +£566.75
2. Joe Dyer: +£35.00
3. Steve Rawlings: -£66.25
4. Paul Krishnamurty: -£126.25
5. Mike Norman: -£228.75