US Open runner-up Tommy Fleetwood is the favourite to win this week's BMW International Open but he doesn't make the Betfair quintet. Read on to find out who they are...
"Jaidee's putting seems to have returned (9th for PA at Wentworth) and, as he's been for most of his career on the European Tour (eight wins at this level), Jaidee is being a little underrated this week."
*EW Terms: 1/5 Odds | 6 Places
Dave Tindall: Back Thongchai Jaidee @ 80/1
It did seem that Thongchai Jaidee was possibly getting a bit old for this lark but the veteran Thai made four cuts out of five from February to April and then really put it all together once more with an excellent tied eighth place in the BMW PGA Championship. On the very simple reasoning that if you can crack the top 10 at Wentworth, you have to be worth considering at 80/1 in a much weaker event like this, he's my pick. Adding to his appeal is course form of T5 (2014) and T8 (2012) in two of the last three editions at Gut Larchenhof while he won the European Open on German soil in 2015 and has a fine record in the country. His putting seems to have returned (9th for PA at Wentworth) and, as he's been for most of his career on the European Tour (eight wins at this level), Jaidee is being a little underrated this week.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Anders Hansen @ 150/1
Over the course of several renewals at Gut Larchenhof, no single type of player has particularly dominated but the stats do emphasise the importance of long game accuracy and plenty of experienced, good course managers have gone well. At his peak - twice winning the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth - Anders Hansen was precisely that, and twice finished top-five here. Though now a part-timer, the 47 year-old remains competitive, registering third and sixth place finishes from a small number of starts in 2016 and 2017. The Dane only kicked off his 2018 campaign with a couple of appearances during May but performed respectably to make both cuts and is probably tuning up for bigger invites in events where he has some previous. This is one of them and at least a place is perfectly realistic.
Steve Rawlings: Back Matt Wallace @ 33/1
Contending in a US Open hasn't been a negative at this event - Ernie Els won the title at Golfclub München Eichenried a week after finishing fourth at Merion, Stenson finished runner-up here after finishing fourth at Pinehurst in 2014, and he won the tournament two years ago after withdrawing at Oakmont, so I wouldn't put anyone off backing 7/1 favourite Tommy Fleetwood after his tremendous efforts at Shinnecock. If he plays anywhere near as well as he did there he'll take some stopping but I'm going to scan a little further down the list and plump for the ultra-confident and ever-improving Matt Wallace at a juicier price. Wallace has already won in India this year, he should have won in China, and he'll be feeling good about his missed cut last week given he shot a respectable 72 in round two.
Joe Dyer: Back Martin Kaymer @ 33/1
In what is a good but not great field, the golfing conundrum that is Martin Kaymer stands out at 33/1 this week. A two-time major winner and still just 33-years-old, Kaymer should be coming into his golfing prime now but is slowly sliding down the rankings instead. The world's no.1 golfer back in 2011, the German is out to 127th ahead of this 'home game' tournament. Despite winning both his majors in the US, it seems that part of Kaymer's problem is playing golf across the Atlantic where he has failed to perform this year with a best finish of 48th coming at The Masters from eight events played. The positive is that a return to European action has brought about his best result of the calendar year with eighth in the Italian Open earlier this month, and the four-time Ryder Cupper is a far more effective performer in European events, finishing top 20 in Dubai and top 30 in Abu Dhabi with just a missed cut at Wentworth blotting the copybook from four European Tour tournaments. It's a concern that his course form is so dire but stats-wise he looks a good fit with high greens-in-reg figures and solid numbers in other departments. If he is to win again this looks just the sort of event where that victory could come.
Mike Norman: Back Oliver Fisher @ 110/1
Arguably one of the weakest fields in BMW International Open history has resulted in a bit of a head-scratching exercise for yours truly but after much deliberation Oliver Fisher will carry my money this week. Reasons? Primarily because he's been in decent nick recently - finished top 10 in Belgium and just outside the top 20 in a Rolex series event in Italy - and I always consider good recent form as an advantage. It was only four months back that Fisher was finishing second at the high class Qatar Masters, so we know that this European Tour winner is a very capable player on his day. Also encouraging is that fact that Fisher has made the cut three times in his four visits to this venue, finishing 33rd and 12th in his previous two course appearances. As 100/1+ shots go, I think he's just about as good as I can find this week.
2018 Season P/L to date: +£62.00
- Italian Open, Lee Westwood @ 45/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- BMW PGA Championship, Kiradech Aphibarnrat @ 45/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- Belgian Knockout, Benjamin Hebert @ 50/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Belgian Knockout, Jorge Campillo @ 28/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Rocco Forte Open, Lucas Herbert @ 125/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- Golf Sixes, South Korea @ 16/1 - PLACE (Steve & Paul)
- Volvo China Open, Lucas Bjerregaard @ 200/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- US Masters, Bubba Watson @ 16/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Hero Indian Open, Andrew Johnston @ 33/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- Oman Open, Jorge Campillo @ 40/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- Maybank Championship, Shubhankar Sharma @ 60/1 - WIN (Joe)
- Dubai Desert Classic, Alex Levy @ 50/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Matthew Fitzpatrick @ 40/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- UBS Hong Kong Open, Paul Peterson @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)