Some star names will be turning out in Germany for this week's BMW International Open and their presence has caused some juicy prices about European Tour regulars that might normally have been shorter in the betting. Here are the betting.betfair team's five recommended wagers...
"Over the last 12 months, Eddie Pepperell has rewarded each-way backers six times from 21 starts, most recently finishing runner-up on his penultimate start at the Irish Open. This tells me three things: that his odds are consistently too high, that a breakthrough win is probably around the corner and, most importantly, that this youngster's rapid progress is no fluke."
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Eddie Pepperell @ 67.066/1
*Each-way terms: ¼ odds, 5 places
Dan Geraghty: Back Moritz Lampert @ 251.0250/1
At the start of June on the European Tour, the Nordea Masters leaderboard was full of home players, with four of the first seven home Swedish natives; a sight we often see when players tee it up in 'home' events. There are a number of talented Germans teeing it up this week and apart from the obvious trio (Kaymer, Kieffer, Siem), two in particular catch my eye. Florian Fritsch has far more talent than his world ranking of 327 implies but his fear of flying and lack of confidence has held him back, the Munich native could go well at a huge price but his streak of missed cuts here put me off. Moritz Lampert was phenomenal when winning three times on the Challenge Tour last year, like many before him he's struggled with the step up in class to the main tour but is worth chancing this week. His missed cut here in 2013 as a 21-year-old is easily forgiven and could prove to be invaluable experience.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Eddie Pepperell @ 67.066/1
Over the last 12 months, Eddie Pepperell has rewarded each-way backers six times from 21 starts, most recently finishing runner-up on his penultimate start at the Irish Open. This tells me three things: that his odds are consistently too high, that a breakthrough win is probably around the corner and, most importantly, that this youngster's rapid progress is no fluke. Indeed, I rate Eddie's potential as the equal of any of his homegrown peers. While he's done it on a range of courses, the fact only nine of this field have a superior birdie average suggests Pepperell is best suited to low-scoring layouts at this stage of his career. This long-standing Munich venue looks perfect and a strong course debut is expected.
Joe Dyer: Back Darren Fichardt @ 81.080/1
It was tough to cut down my shortlist this week with plenty around the 80/1 appealing - Richard Green, Alejandro Canizares and Peter Hanson were among the names dropped - but I have settled on Darren Fichardt to carry my £10 in Germany. The South African comes into the week on the back of some good form with a pair of top 20s and three cuts made in his last four events. After a long gap in appearances at Golfclub München Eichenried, Fichardt finished seventh in 2013 to confirm his ability on the track. This four-time winner turned 40 last month and that milestone kicked off his current good run. His last win came in 2013 but maybe, just maybe, he has that little extra impetus he needs to kick on and land career win no.5. A solid all-round game should help him go close.
Steven Rawlings: Back John Hahn @ 126.0125/1
John Hahn looks like another brilliant young American going the right way on the European Tour and after his superb tee-to-green performance in Austria a fortnight ago I was a little surprised to see him as big as 125/1 here. He ranked second for greens hit there and only an ice-cold putter on pay day four stopped him from at least placing and possibly winning. I don't think it'll be long before triple-figure prices about him are a thing of the past so let's hope he can get off the mark while he still represents value.
Mike Norman: Back Matthew Fitzpatrick @ 67.066/1
For a number of years prior to the last time the BMW International Open was held at Golfclub München Eichenried, Driving Accuracy was a key stat to consider. That theory went out of the window to a certain extent when Ernie Els won here in 2013 (ranked just 50th for DA on the week), though notably the Big Easy ranked first for Greens in Regulation that week while Martin Kaymer, who finished fourth, ranked second for the same stat, and it's GIR that has been the most crucial stat to consider over a long period of time at this venue. So I'm going for a player who ranks high for both Driving Accuracy and Greens in Regulation, and he's in fine form too. Rising star Matthew Fitzpatrick finished T8 in Ireland at the end of last month before improving again to finish in a tie for third last time out in Austria. He ranks 10th on the European Tour this season for DA and seventh for GIR, at 66/1 to back, what's not to like?
2015 P/L (£5 e/w per selection)
Year to date P/L: +£408.34
- Lyoness Open, Robert Rock @ 66/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- BMW PGA Championship, Chris Wood @ 125/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Mauritius Open, John Parry @ 150/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- US Masters, Paul Casey @ 66/1 - PLACE (Romilly)
- Thailand Classic, Andrew Dodt @ 100/1 - WON (Paul)
- Malaysian Open, Anirban Lahiri @ 66/1 - WON (Dan)
- DD Classic, Stephen Gallacher @ 25/1 - PLACE (Steve)
*Total P/L for 2014: +£251.75