The Betfair golf team enjoyed a place return for 50/1 Rafa Cabrera-Bello last week and move on to the links-fest up in Scotland with the following five picks...
"Harrington won this twice and registered a seventh top-eight finish 12 months ago. Moreover, few are better equipped to cope with the forecast wind and rain than this links specialist."
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Padraig Harrington @ 100/1
EW Terms: 1/5 Odds | 8 Places
Dave Tindall: Back Andrew Johnston @ 80/1
Beef must love this event. A chance to mix with the celebrities. A chance to show off his links skills. The theory falls down though when looking at his record which shows a trio of missed cuts. I'm prepared to overlook that and focus on his current form and potential to do well here. Johnston, who has finished T4 and T19 in the last two Scottish Opens, is on a fine run of form with three top 10s in his last five starts. The last two were T10 in last month's Scandinavian Invitation and T9 in last week's BMW PGA Championship where he fired three 69s and a 70. All his game looked solid at Wentworth as he ranked 17th for greens in regulation, 14th for scrambling and 15th for putting average. Looking a little closer at his missed cuts in this event, he did fire a 63 in his first visit and there was a 67 the following year. He's missed the last two editions so hopefully he'll return as a more rounded character and less likely to get caught up in the showbiz distractions. Take the 80/1.
Paul Krishnamurty: Back Padraig Harrington @ 100/1
For the fourth straight autumn, Padraig Harrington has swapped PGA Tour misery for marked improvement in Europe. Having previously missed 11 out of 15 cuts in 2019, including just two top-50 finishes, the thrice major champion suddenly looks competitive again. Consecutive top-15s in Germany and Holland and a respectable mid-division finish at Wentworth (a place where his inaccurate driving was unlikely to thrive) read well ahead of a couple of events he's won before. Harrington won this twice and registered a seventh top-eight finish 12 months ago. Moreover, few are better equipped to cope with the forecast wind and rain than this links specialist.
Steve Rawlings: Back Eddie Pepperell @ 100/1
After some glorious weather at Wentworth last week, more typically autumnal British conditions are forecast for this week in Scotland so I've concentrated my efforts on players I know can handle a bit of wind and rain. British players have fared well in the past and plenty of outsiders have lifted the huge trophy so anyone from the home contingent at a big price is worth considering. Previous event form and in particular, links form, has been important too so all things considered, the one I like at a triple figure price here is England's Eddie Pepperell. Last year's British Masters winner hasn't been in terrific form this season but he was fourth in the Irish open in July, he lost a playoff in that event four years ago in almost impossibly foul conditions, he was second in last year's Scottish Open and he was seventh in this event two years ago.
Joe Dyer: Back Joakim Lagergren @ 100/1
The obvious starting point when looking for a golf bet is course and current form - Andy Swales' guides supply these stats - and Joakim Lagergren made it easy for me this week as he has both in spades. Four goes at the Alfred Dunhill Links have yielded a pair of fourth place finishes, a 12th and a missed cut, so we know Lagergren can perform on the three tracks. A look at his current play suggests he is swinging the club pretty well, with the Swede registering a pair of top 10s among his last five results plus a further top 20 and just one missed cut in the sequence. Statistically, Lagergren is neither immensely long or accurate, but he is a good putter and maybe it's just something in the relatively easy course setups (given the amateurs that pay with the pros) that allows him to swing freely and enjoy the event. Whatever it is, I can't let the 100/1 pass me by.
Mike Norman: Back Ross Fisher @ 80/1
Whenever I think of the Alfred Dunhill Links I usually get visions of Martin Kaymer and Ross Fisher in bobble hats trying to battle the elements. Those are just two great Links exponents who are permanent fixtures in this event, and regardless of the form they've shown going into this unique tournament, they always have to be considered. Fisher gets the nod this week because of his joint industry-best quote of 80/1, which I have to say is a very appealing price for a wonderful links golf player who has finished runner-up in this event on three occasions, two of those being in the last three years. Fisher has won events in tough weather conditions, and many of his career-best results have come in tournaments that are, or very much resemble, links golf, so he's an ideal fit on that score this week. His recent form isn't too shabby either which is the big plus as it indicates he's trending in the right direction with this event firmly in mind. He was on the fringes of contention at Wentworth last week before a final round 76 saw him drop to T31, but I'm confident he'll string four rounds together in Scotland and be there or thereabouts come Sunday afternoon.
2019 Season P/L to date: -£412.55
- BMW PGA Championship, Rafa Cabrera-Bello @ 50/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- Omega European Masters, Matthias Schwab @ 80/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- Scandinavian Invitational, Alex Levy @ 70/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Scottish Open, Andrea Pavan @ 110/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- BMW International Open, Jordan Smith @ 28/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- US Open, Gary Woodland @ 70/1 - WIN (Dave)
- Made In Denmark, Pablo Larrazabal @ 80/1 - PLACE (Steve)
- USPGA Championship, Brooks Koepka @ 11/1 - WIN (Steve)
- Volvo China Open, David Lipsky @ 33/1 - PLACE (Dave)
- WGC Dell Match Play, Matt Kuchar @ 40/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- WGC Mexico Championship, Cameron Smith @ 60-1 - PLACE (Paul)
- WGC Mexico Championship, Paul Casey @ 35/1 - PLACE (Mike)
- World Super 6, Scott Vincent @ 80/1 - PLACE (Paul)
- World Super 6, Paul Dunne @ 50/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Abu Dhabi Championship, Joost Luiten @ 80/1 - PLACE (Joe)
- Mauritius Open, Justin Harding @ 30/1 - PLACE (Dave)
*2018 P/L: +£727.16
*2017 P/L: -£306.84
*2016 P/L: +£267.58
*2015 P/L: +£958.37
*2014 P/L: +£251.75