Double Delight: Bad weather specialists and in-form players this week's picks

Robert Karlsson is showing signs of returning to his best form
Robert Karlsson is showing signs of returning to his best form

After a two week break while Rory McIlroy declared world golf domination, Mike Norman returns with his popular Double Delight column where he attempts to find the winner or a place on each of the two main golf Tours...

12 x 1pt E/W Doubles

Wood @ 26.025/1
Dyson @ 29.028/1
Hoey @ 41.040/1
Howell @ 51.050/1

X

Karlsson @ 36.035/1
Petersson @ 51.050/1
Brown @ 81.080/1


Made In Denmark (¼ odds, 5 places)

Back Chris Wood @ 26.025/1
Back Simon Dyson @ 29.028/1
Back Michael Hoey @ 41.040/1
Back David Howell @ 51.050/1

Before the two week break for the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational and the US PGA Championship we remained in decent form in our attempt to find that elusive, monster-price win double.

In the two weeks that preceded our last column we landed small each/way doubles, and then a fortnight ago we recommended Tim Clark at 56.055/1 to win the Canadian Open. Not bad form granted, but given that David Horsey was a serious consideration prior to the Russian Open (he won at 29.028/1) it's impossible not to feel that our chance of landing the big win double in our first season has slipped away.

We have a brand new event on the European Tour this week, so for all you need to know about Made in Denmark then click this link to read Steve 'The Punter' Rawlings' brilliant in-depth preview of the tournament.

The Backtee New Course at Himmerland Golf and Spa Resort will be a new venue for 99% of this week's participants, though a couple of 'veterans' in the field will have played there competitively back in 1995 when Thomas Bjorn won a Challenge Tour event.

So with no course form to go on we're primarily looking towards form players this week, and accurate ones too rather than those that hit it miles given that the general consensus is that accuracy will prevail over power. And with tough weather conditions forecast, fast greens, and a slighly exposed course, maybe this week's event will have a bit of a Links feel to it. That's my approach anyway.

It's certainly a tough event to call, but my four against the field are Chris Wood, Simon Dyson, Michael Hoey, and David Howell.

Hoey (41.040/1) is perahps the most in-form of the quartet, or at least he was before withdrawing from the Open Championship with a foot injury. The Northern Irishman had finished eighth and seventh at two top class European Tour events - the Irish and French Opens - and a reproduction of that form in this weaker field will see him go extremely close.

The five-time European Tour winner is a great links golf exponent (good news if the event does play that way) so wind and rain certainly won't hinder his chances, and there's nothing to worry about regarding his recent injury, it was basically a flesh wound rather than a muscle or ligament problem and has had a full month to heal.

Another great links player (we're going to be snookered if the weather is fine and links golf is the last thing the course plays like) is Wood (26.025/1), who looks to me to be very close to his very best form.

He finished alongside Hoey at the Irish Open in June before recording a top-25 in the Open Championship by closing with a fantastic final round 65. He carried that form over into the USPGA Championship last week where he showed up well for a long way before fading on the Sunday. Expect him to go well this week.

Another man seemingly close to his best form, and another player who has performed brilliantly on links courses and in tough weather conditions in the past is Simon Dyson (29.028/1.

The Englishman's performances in two of this season's top BMW events, the prestigious PGA Championship and the International Open, where he finished in a tie for fifth both times, prove that this six-time European Tour winner still has the game to compete with the best. He is an incredibly accurate iron player on his day, and he won't mind adverse weather should it materialise. He's another player I'm finding it hard to envisage not being in contention.

You can basically sum up David Howell (51.050/1) by taking snippets from all three of the players already mentioned - multiple Tour winner, great iron player on his day, good links golf exponent, doesn't mind tough weather conditions, and threatening to returnn to form.

His best performance in recent weeks was a top-15 finish at the Open, so in a much weaker field this week I can see Howell giving us an excellent run for our money.


Wyndham Championship (¼ odds, 5 places)

Back Robert Karlsson @ 36.035/1
Back Carl Pettersson @ 51.050/1
Back Scott Brown @ 81.080/1

Like the European equivalent, for a full in-depth preview of this week's PGA Tour event then don't miss Steve's brilliant preview here - his weekly colums really are must reads for any golf punters.

I admit to finding the Wyndham Championship a very tough event to call this week; the Sedgefield Country Club course is a lovely test of golf but it's been difficult to pinpoint what type of players are best suited. As Steve says, generally it's been accurate drivers and good putters, but that changed last year when Patrick Reed won.

So my approach is simply to revert to the in-form player angle, or the in-form player with decent course form angle, and perhaps foolishly ignore statistics. Don't worry though, we're not plumping for a player who tops the three-putt stats or hits fewer fairways than your local golf club hacker!

In fact Robert Karlsson is far from a local golf club hacker, though a couple of seasons ago you'd have been forgiven for thinking that was exactly what he was.

Top class on his day, Karlsson's switch to the PGA Tour didn't exactly go to plan, though a few niggling injuries can be attributed in some parts to his loss of form. But the tall Swede is on the way back and looks to be one of the form players ahead of this week's event so I'm happy to back him at 36.035/1.

Karlsson has always been a favourite of mine and he's been on my radar ever since he recorded a top-10 finish in Abu Dhabi earlier this year. It wasn't until June that he really began to show he was on his way back to his best however - a sixth-place finish at the Nordea Masters was followed by an excellent fourth at the Open de France.

He then went to the 'links fortnight' of the Scottish Open and the Open Championship and performed outstanding in both, finishing fourth at Royal Aberdeen and 12th at Hoylake. Ignore his poor form at this venue as Karlsson's a different animal in his current form and should go well.

I've outlined my reasons for backing Carl Pettersson in this week's each-way column, but to summarise he's a player who has won at this venue, had two further top-four finishes at the track, and has shown some good form recently. At 51.050/1 each-way he's definitely worth siding with.

And I'm also siding with one of Steve's regular plays as my final selection. Scott Brown has been on The Punter's radar for a few seasons now but he often trades at triple figures still, despite some very respectable efforts. He was triple figures again on the Exchange but even at 81.080/1 on the Sportsbook I'm happy to play.

Steve has highlighted a course correlation between this week's venue and the one used for the John Dere Classic so it's encouraging that Brown finished fifth at the latter tournament just a month ago.

He then recorded a top-20 finish at the Canadian Open so we know his recent form is very acceptable, and the fact that he ranked first for Proximity to Hole (a stat I really like) at last week's US PGA Championship adds further confidence.


12 x 1pt E/W Doubles

Wood, Dyson, Hoey, Howell (Made In Denmark)

X

Karlsson, Pettersson, Brown (Wyndham Championship)


*Each-way doubles are settled on a win-to-win place-to-place basis using Betfair's Sportsbook product and therefore any winnings are exempt from commission


You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73


Season P/L

E/W Doubles
Wagered: 341.4pts
Returned: 239.54pts
P/L: - 102.46pts

Win Singles (1pt win each selection)
Wagered: 122pts
Returned: 176pts
P/L: + 54pts

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