Dan Geraghty kicked off his new column with 125/1 Estanislao Goya landing a place payout so can our man make it two winning weeks in a row? Here are his four to follow at the BMW Championship...
"Keegan Bradley is carrying some momentum into this week after a fine performance (under pressure) at the Deutsche Bank Championship two weeks ago"
A windy start to the BMW Championship is forecast and with only 70 players lining up, the tee times are nicely grouped together so no significant advantage should be gained by the 'early' or 'late' starters. In fact, with only two hours separating the first and last groups, I'm not going to pay any attention to the tee times whatsoever. Another factor I will be discounting this week is distance from the tee; the last time the event was staged at Conway Farms GC in 2013, the event was won by Zach Johnson and he was joined on the leaderboard by a number of shorter hitters. It's a rare week on tour when distance isn't a huge advantage but here accuracy and course management appear key.
So what to consider? Given the adverse conditions and fiddly nature of the course some bigger priced golfers could make the frame. Experience of playing in 2013's event here can't hurt and some semblance of recent form is always a bonus.
One man that fits the profile is Brendon De Jonge; the Zimbabwean was 18th here in 2013 and led the field after round one two weeks ago. It's too late for De Jonge to realise his Presidents Cup dream but he has a great opportunity to put a largely disappointing season behind him and progress in the FedEx cup this week.
Another man I like this week is Bill Haas. The American was 28th here in 2013 and has been solid if not spectacular recently. However, with his father Jay selecting him as a captain's pick for the upcoming Presidents Cup, the younger Haas may feel he has a point to prove in these upcoming events; and we all know he has history with the FedEx Cup.
Keegan Bradley is carrying some momentum into this week after a fine performance (under pressure) at the Deutsche Bank Championship two weeks ago, saw him break into the FedEx Cup top 70. Bradley was 16th here in 2013 and shot a fine 66 in round four.
Finally, I will side with Kevin Chappell, who plays well in the wind, has been in solid form of late and although he was only 62nd here in 2013, the experience should stand him in good stead.
1 point E/W on each
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2015 First Round Leader P&L: +24.25
Staked - 8pts
Returned - 12.90pts
P&L - +4.9pts