Back Germany to win @ [2.38]
Usually when a team wins by a whopping scoreline you see a major over-reaction in the market but I think Germany are a very fair price to beat Argentina. It's not just Tuesday night's phenomenal result that is shaping my opinion, Jogi Loew's side have had their wobbly moments - Ghana and Algeria causing them problems - but they remain unbeaten and Philipp Lahm's return to the defence has improved the team's shape and organisation.
Argentina have been doing just enough to get past the opposition throughout the knockout stages, but slim wins over Switzerland (in extra time don't forget) and Belgium, and 120 dire goalless minutes against the Netherlands do not read well. Lionel Messi is not being harnessed to his full potential and the team just doesn't flow like Germany.
Alejandro Sabella's men have not conceded in three games now and I suspect they will stick to their gameplan of containing the opposition and grabbing a winner - but I don't think that's viable against a well-drilled Germany side that contains goal threats from nearly every position and has arrived in peak form at the right time. At a healthy odds-against price I'm happy to get with Loew's side to win in 90 minutes.
Back Draw in the Half-Time market at [2.04]
So, here we are again. Two nations with 12 World Cup final appearances between them face off for a third time to take the world's biggest football prize.
Germany are understandably favourites to win - not only on the back of the incredible destruction of Brazil but also because they have had an extra day's rest - but they will find it hard to break down an obdurate Argentina side.
Opta tell us that no side have kept as many clean sheets as Alejandro Sabella's men in the 2014 World Cup (four, Germany have three), with the South Americans yet to concede a goal in the knockout stages (despite playing extra-time in two of their three games).
Despite Germany's attacking prowess, I think there is every chance of stalemate in the 90 minutes - especially with the added pressure that a semi-final brings - so I wouldn't put you off backing the draw at [3.3]. But with concerns about tiredness among the Argentina ranks, I'll play safe and play the half-time market instead, where the draw is available at better than evens.
In 30 years of watching football as a fan I have never seen anything that comes remotely close to what I saw in Belo Horizonte on Tuesday night, and it informs my bet selection for the final.
There is absolutely no way that the Germans can go back to Germany without that trophy after what they did to the hosts last weekend, and in many ways, by securing the most remarkable result in modern football history, they have made a huge rod for their own back. But here's the thing, I don't think this Jogi Loew's side care one iota for that, for history or for superstition, and I expect them to do the business in the Maracana come Sunday night.
In the semi-final, Die Mannschaft flew out of the blocks using space, movement and quick, intricate passes to bamboozle the Brazilians and I can see them doing exactly the same against Argentina. The result won't be as spectacular, but I believe the outcome will. Back Germany to be leading at half time and full time at [4.5].
Back Germany to Win to Nil @ [3.3]
Surely if Ghana and Algeria can score against the mighty Germany then Argentina will have no problem finding the back of the net. That's an easy assumption to make but I wouldn't be so sure.
I prefer instead to look at Germany's three games against higher quality opposition to gauge how good they are defensively and on what I've seen they look rock solid. Their aggregate score against Portugal, France, and Brazil is 12-1, the one goal conceded coming when they were 7-0 up against hapless Brazil. Against France they were immense at the back, restricting Karim Benzema and his teammates to just a few shots at goal.
And when you factor in how toothless Argentina have been up front (wow, where would they be without Lionel Messi) then you begin to envisage this game being quite tight with few chances.
I fancy Germany to win it though and wouldn't put anyone of backing the 1-0 and 2-0 Correct Scores, but I won't get too greedy and will back the Germany Win to Nil option at around [3.3].