World Cup Opta Stats: Four bets including Spain at 4.8 for Sunday

Mike Norman
27 November 2022
2:00 min read

Alvaro Morata and his Spain teammates can knock Germany out of the World Cup

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There's a lot on the line in Sunday's second round group games, but none more so in the evening's blockbuster between Spain and Germany, and the stats aren't good for the team needing to win. Mike Norman has bets for all four of the day's games, ranging from 2.29 to 4.8...

Japan can book qualification with comfortable win
Cagey affair between Belgium and Morocco
Croatia and Canada will both go for victory
Germany at risk of early elimination
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Japan v Costa Rica

High energy Japan can brush opponents aside

The Opta Stat:

"Japan have never lost in four previous meetings with Costa Rica in all competitions (W3 D1), netting exactly three goals in all three victories in this run. Since beating both Uruguay and Italy in their group in 2014, Costa Rica are winless in seven World Cup games (D4 L3), failing to score in five of those matches."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Japan to win both halves @ 3.42

Belgium v Morocco

Well-organised Morocco struggling for goals

The Opta Stat:

"Morocco have failed to score in 53% of their World Cup matches (9/17) coming into the second round of games, it's the joint-highest percentage of any nation to have played more than 10 games in the competition."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Under 1.5 Goals @ 3.6

Croatia v Canada

Goals expected with both teams going for the win

The Opta Stat:

"Croatia's goalless draw with Morocco on MD1 ended their run of scoring in 11 consecutive World Cup matches. Only once have they failed to score in consecutive games at the same edition of the tournament, doing so in their first two group games in 2006. Canada attempted 22 shots in their defeat to Belgium on MD1, twice as many as their previous record in a World Cup match (11 v USSR in 1986). However, just three of those efforts were on target (14%)."

The Betfair Bet:

Back Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.29

Spain v Germany

Germany to be eliminated against impressive Spain

The Opta Stat:

"Germany have won just one of their last seven meetings with Spain in all competitions (D2 L4), winning 1-0 in a friendly match in November 2014. They've not won a competitive meeting with Spain since EURO 1988 (2-0), drawing two and losing three since then."

The Betfair Bet: