Football Tips

Thursday World Cup Qualifiers Tips: Iceland can turn up heat on Germany

Joachim Low
Will Joachim Low have the answers when Germany host Iceland?

"A 12 match unbeaten run (W7 D5) came to a humiliating end for Germany in their last outing, when they were thrashed 6-0 by Spain."

Back both Germany and Iceland to score at 2.68/5

Germany conceded six in their last outing and Dan Fitch is backing Iceland to score against them, as he previews Thursday's World Cup qualifying matches.

Switzerland conceding regularly

Bulgaria 7.413/2 v Switzerland 1.4640/85; The Draw 4.03/1
Thursday 25 March, 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Bulgaria have only won one of their last nine games (D2 L6) and that was at home against Gibraltar.

Switzerland are on a poor run themselves and are without a win in seven (D3 L4), albeit against mainly elite opposition. They've conceded in all seven of those matches, so back both teams to score at 2.111/10.

Denmark rarely lose

Israel 5.04/1 v Denmark 1.834/5; The Draw 3.613/5
Thursday 25 March, 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Football

Israel are a decent team, but since September 2018, only Belgium (twice) have defeated the Danes (P23 W13 D8 L2).

While there is the potential for a draw, Denmark's price of 1.834/5 is just about big enough to take a chance on the away win.

Iceland can score in Germany

Germany 1.141/7 v Iceland 24.023/1; The Draw 11.010/1
Thursday 25 March, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

A 12 match unbeaten run (W7 D5) came to a humiliating end for Germany in their last outing, when they were thrashed 6-0 by Spain. In truth, Germany had looked far from convincing during this period, conceding in seven of their previous eight games prior to meeting Spain.

That makes the price of both teams to score look generous at 2.68/5. Iceland have scored in five of their last seven games, which includes two matches with Belgium.

Poland a solid price

Hungary 3.814/5 v Poland 2.1411/10; The Draw 3.39/4
Thursday 25 March, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

This is another match where, although the hosts have quality, the price for the visitors is tempting.

Hungary are unbeaten in six (W4 D2), but any team with Robert Lewandowski in attack are dangerous. Back Poland to win at 2.1411/10.

Home win for Romania

Romania 1.9520/21 v North Macedonia 4.84/1; The Draw 3.211/5
Thursday 25 March, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Since the start of 2019, Romania's form has been erratic (P17 W6 D4 L7, but they've been largely up against a much higher quality of opposition than has been the case for North Macedonia.

When North Macedonia stepped up to face better such as Austria and Poland during Euro 2020 qualifying, they lost and the 1.9520/21 available looks a fair price for Romania.

Greece can keep it tighter than Germany

Spain 1.171/6 v Greece 23.022/1; The Draw 8.88/1
Thursday 25 March, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Spain can often frustrate with the amount of games they draw, but in their last outing they produced an explosive 6-0 win over Germany (mentioned above).

Though Spain should win again, Greece could be more resistant than Germany, having kept clean sheets in four of their last five games. A Spain win and under 3.5 goals is 1.9520/21.

Swedes won't smash Georgia

Sweden 1.282/7 v Georgia 16.531/2; The Draw 6.05/1
Thursday 25 March, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Sweden were unfortunate enough to be drawn in a Nations League group with the World Cup winners, the beaten finalists and the reigning European champions, so it would be unfair to analyse their recent form too harshly.

They're likely to bounce back with a win, though Georgia are playing well enough to suggest that it might be tight. A Sweden win and under 2.5 goals is 2.89/5.

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Dan Fitch 2020/21 Season P/L

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