World Cup Daily Briefing: Brazil performance impacts World Cup winner market

Brazil forward Neymar.
Neymar on realising that Brazil might have avoided Germany in the last-16.
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Dan Fitch looks at how Brazil's victory over Costa Rica has affected the odds and points you in the directions of all the best tips for today's matches...

"With the Serbs already having a win on the board they can make it into the last-16 by beating Brazil."

Brazil are [1.1] to qualify from Group E, with Serbia at [6.2].

Today's games - Saturday 23 June

Group G
Belgium [1.37] v Tunisia [12.0]; The Draw [5.1]
Kick off 13:00, Live on BBC One

Belgium can extend their lead at the top of Group G with a victory over Tunisia.

"Belgium's slower possession game will make it easier for Tunisia to set themselves up and block the central areas and Panama managed it pretty comfortably for 45 minutes at least."

Read Dave Tindall's Belgium v Tunisia match preview and betting tips here.

Group F
South Korea [6.2] v Mexico [1.74]; The Draw [3.7]
Kick off 16:00, Live on ITV

Having already beaten the reigning World Cup holders, Mexico can take a huge step the last-16 with a win over South Korea.

"South Korea have struggled in front of goal recently, but they have to open up and chase a result, and Mexico should make plenty of chances."

Read Kevin Hatchard's South Korea v Mexico match preview and betting tips here.

Group F
Germany [1.54] v Sweden [7.6]; The Draw [4.4]
Kick off 19:00, Live on ITV

Germany simply must bounce back with a win over Sweden, after suffering a shock loss to Mexico in their opening game.

"Just one of Sweden's last ten games have featured three goals or more, and they have no need to take any risks here."

Read Kevin Hatchard's Germany v Sweden match preview and betting tips here.

What happened yesterday?

It wasn't just the football hipsters wearing Nigeria shirts yesterday. Argentina's players would have been wearing them too, as they cheered on Nigeria against Iceland in the hope that they could reignite Argentine hopes of making the last-16.

Nigeria duly won 2-0 and with Croatia already having confirmed their place in the knockout stages, all three of the other teams in Group D go into the final game with a chance of joining them. The only problem for Argentina, is that they must now beat a Nigerian team who looked very good following their change in formation. Argentina are the [1.84] favourites to qualify, with Nigeria at [2.98] and Iceland at [6.8].

Group E is also wide open, with three teams in with a chance of winning it. Brazil claimed their first win of the tournament with a last gasp double to beat Costa Rica 2-0 and eliminate the Central Americans from the tournament.

That win gave Brazil four points and Switzerland joined them on that total, after fighting back from being a goal down to beat Serbia 2-1. With the Serbs already having a win on the board they can make it into the last-16 by beating Brazil. The punters don't like their chances, with Switzerland the [1.06] favourites to qualify, Brazil at [1.1] and Serbia out at [6.2].

Who will win the World Cup?

After another far from convincing performance from Brazil, the favourites moved out to [5.8] from yesterday's price of [5.5].

The second favourites Spain also drifted from [5.70] to their current price of [5.90]. Elsewhere there was some movement between the other contenders, as the possibility that Brazil might finish second in their group sent out ripples.

Germany had looked destined for a last-16 showdown with Brazil, but with the chance that they might avoid them, they came in to third favourites at [9.4]. Belgium are now the fourth favourites at [9.6], with France out to fifth favourites at [10.5] and England the sixth favourites at [12.5].

England watch

War raged yesterday between an England camp annoyed that the press had leaked the team that will face Panama and said press, who defended their right to break the story, as if it was akin to the Watergate scandal and not a wholly unnecessary scoop that absolutely no one in England would have actually wanted to see.

Anyway, a riled up England are [1.81] to win half-time/full-time.

Who will be the top scorer?

The pre-tournament favourite Neymar scored his first goal of this World Cup yesterday and came in to [23.0], having been backed as high as [55.0]. Philippe Coutinho scored his second goal of the tournament to give Brazil a very late lead and is now [34.0] to be the World Cup's top scorer. Cristiano Ronaldo remains the favourite at [2.9].

What other sport is on today?

It's the final day of Royal Ascot and Betfair Ambassador Ryan Moore is on hand with his lowdown on all his Saturday rides.

Read our Royal Ascot betting previews and tips from our hugely knowledgable horse racing experts.

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