World Cup Daily Briefing: Germany price soars after Mexico defeat

Mexico celebrate against Germany.
Mexico prove that Germany aren't unbeatable at football.
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Dan Fitch examines the price movements caused by disappointing results for Germany and Brazil, while looking forward to today's games, which of course include England's opening match...

"This is perhaps not quite the shock that the media pretended it was, when you consider that Mexico is a football-loving nation with a population roughly 50% bigger than the Germans."

Mexico are the new favourites to win Group F at [1.63].

Today's games - Monday 18 June 2018

Group F
Sweden [2.1] v South Korea [4.7]; The Draw [3.15]
Kick off 13:00, Live on ITV

With Germany having suffered a shock defeat to Mexico this group has been blown wide open and a victory for either team would leave the defending champions having to make up a lot of lost ground.

"Sweden play safety-first football these days, and their last six games have been deadlocked at half time."

Read Kevin Hatchard's Sweden v South Korea match preview and betting tips here.

Group G
Belgium [1.2] v Panama [23.0]; The Draw [7.6]
Kick off 16:00, Live on BBC One

It's the first outing for one of the contenders to win the World Cup, as Belgium take on Panama.

"The Manchester United striker has banged in eight goals in Belgium's six warm-up friendlies and bagged a brace three times."

Read Dave Tindall's Belgium v Panama match preview and betting tips here.

Group G
England [1.51] v Tunisia [9.2]; The Draw [4.3]
Kick off 19:00, Live on BBC One

Twenty years ago England began their 1998 World Cup campaign with a 2-0 win over Tunisia. Will history repeat itself?

"Tunisia won't be easy to break down themselves so it's fair to think that this isn't going to be goal-laden."

Read Dave Tindall's England v Tunisia match preview and betting tips here.

Quote of the day - part one

"It's very difficult for westerners to distinguish between Asians".

South Korea manager Shin Tae-Yong on making his players swap numbers, after the Sweden coach Janne Andersson was caught spying on their training session.

What happened yesterday?

The World Cup holders Germany got off to the worst possible start to their defence of their title, as they lost 1-0 to Mexico.

This is perhaps not quite the shock that the media have pretended it was, when you consider that Mexico is a football-loving nation with a population roughly 50% bigger than the Germans, who came into this tournament in poor form. Germany have now only won one of their last seven games and are out to [4.7] to win Group F, with Mexico the new favourites at [1.63].

With Germany having failed their audition to look like credible World Cup winners, Brazil took the stage and gave a better performance, without truly convincing. They drew 1-1 with Switzerand, but did at least look organised and well-balanced.

Brazil are still expected to win Group E and are the [1.61] favourites, with Serbia the new second favourites at [4.8] after they defeated Costa Rica 1-0. It's early days to be looking towards the last-16, but if Brazil were to win their group and Germany were to finish second in theirs, a match that was tipped as the most likely final would happen a lot earlier.

Who will win the World Cup?

As you might expect, yesterday's results had a major impact on the World Cup winner markets. Brazil are now out to [5.3] from [4.8], as the possibility of that early match with Germany dawned.

The Germans are now out to [9.8] from [6.2], with France installed as third favourites at [8.8], with everyone seemingly forgetting how bad they were against Australia, despite the fact that they only played on Saturday. Spain are the new second favourites at [6.0] and it must be said that they have looked the best of the likely contenders, even with their unhinged decision to sack their manager a day before the tournament and replace him with a local raffle winner.

Quote of the day - part two

"Went down there like Super Mario when a bad computer player is playing it."

The World Cup is only a week old, yet Jonathan Pearce has already won the award for using the worst possible simile to describe something that happened in a football match.

Who will be top goalscorer?

The pre-tournament favourite Neymar failed to find the net against Switzerand and is now out to [18.5], with Cristiano Ronaldo an even smaller favourite at [3.0] and Diego Costa narrowing to [8.2].

England watch

In case you haven't heard, England play tonight against Tunisia. Jamie Pacheco is on hand with some smart #OddsOnThat suggestions.

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