Infogol's Analyst returns to select the best goalscorer bets using expected goals (xG), with England taking centre stage on Tuesday...
"The Tottenham forward will be by far the most potent attacking threat on the pitch on Tuesday, averaging 1.49 xG per 90 so far this tournament."
Berg to come good for Sweden
Sweden vs Switzerland
Live on BBC
Sweden were very impressive in navigating their way out of Group F, and deservedly finished top based on performances.
Switzerland were flattered somewhat by their displays in Group E, with very little between themselves and Serbia.
The Infogol model is siding with Sweden for this game, with a 51.4% chance that they advance to the Quarter Finals.
If they are to do so, it may well be striker Marcus Berg who makes the difference in this game.
Berg is yet to score at this World Cup, but that's not for the want of trying. He has racked up 2.31 xG in three matches, an average of 0.8 xG per 90, so gets himself in really good scoring positions.
Backing him to do so again in this match is the selection here, and he looks a good value bet at 5/1 to score first.
Kane to lead from the front
Colombia vs England
Live on ITV
Colombia were fortunate to escape Group H according expected goals (xG), with their performances not warranting the results that they managed.
England were comfortable in qualifying for the knockout rounds, and were able to rest key players ahead of this game.
Harry Kane remains top of the scoring charts despite playing only two games, and he will be looking to add to his tally again here.
The Tottenham forward will be by far the most potent attacking threat on the pitch on Tuesday, having averaged 1.49 xG per 90 so far this tournament.
While this may be a stiffer test than those he faced in the Group Stage, Kane is expected to once again revel in being England captain and lead from the front.
Infogol's 2018 World Cup P/L