Infogol's Analyst uses expected goals (xG) data to picks out three more best goalscorer bets in Monday's World Cup action, as Group's A and B comes to a climax...
"This is turning into Cristiano Ronaldo’s World Cup after he netted the winner against Morocco, and though it is the obvious play, it is hard to make a case for anyone else opening the scoring here."
Suárez to star in Group A decider
Uruguay vs Russia
Live on ITV
Uruguay take on Russia in a Group decider on Monday, with the winner potentially having a kind draw should Iran pip Portugal.
Uruguay have been far from convincing at this World Cup so far in terms of their play, but their process has been very good, creating good chances in both matches so far.
It is fancied that the South Americans will get the win in this game, and chancing Luis Suárez to score first again is the selection.
After missing two 'big' chances against Egypt, as suspected, Suárez didn't miss his 'big' chance against Saudi Arabia. Having had three 'big' chances so far, it is expected that he will get one in this game, and at 7/2, looks a good price to open the scoring.
Try and stop Ronaldo
Iran vs Portugal
Live on BBC
Iran gave their all against Spain, but came away empty handed as class prevailed, and it is expected to be the same narrative in this game.
This is turning into Cristiano Ronaldo's World Cup after he netted the winner against Morocco, and though it is the obvious play, it is hard to make a case for anyone else opening the scoring here.
Ronaldo only needed one chance to score, and is expected to prove the difference in this match too, so backing him to score first looks the only real play here.
Silva to outshine Costa
Spain vs Morocco
Live on BBC
Spain need just a point to advance, while Morocco are playing for pride after a defeat to Portugal in which they were the aggressors.
Diego Costa has been one of Spain's shining lights in this tournament so far, netting twice against Portugal and hitting the winner against Iran.
But with Morocco playing a high-press and high-tempo, there may be gaps for Spain to exploit, and this may favour a support player rather than an out-and-out striker.
For this reason, the influential David Silva, who was joint top-scorer in qualifying, is chanced to open the scoring in this game, and get his first goal of the tournament.
Infogol's 2018 World Cup P/L
*Correct as of 15.00 Friday 22nd June